Inevitability

Your Blogmeister’s Desk

I just posted this comment at Angry White Dude:

Everyone is saying that HRC as the Democrat nominee in 2016 is inevitable. But HRC as the Democrat nominee in 2008 was also supposed to be inevitable. Yet, she didn’t win, someone came out of left field to take what was inevitably hers from her. Other than Obama being both black and “not too black” at the same time, I think there’s some unspoken undiscussed and maybe taboo reason/X-Factor that HRC couldn’t win the nomination in 2008, that I think is going to show its head again in 2016. Maybe it has something to do with gender sociology of some sort, maybe it has something to do with Democrat voters not taking kindly to her entitlement attitude, maybe it has something to do that unlike the Republican Party on the Presidential level, the Democrat Party on the Presidential level has been more conducive to people “coming out of left field” to win the nomination, or maybe it’s a factor nobody really knows anything about.

As far as 2016 Democrats, watch out for Mark Warner.

One more thing: The only kind of Republican that can win the Presidency from here on out is one that makes immigration patriotism (opposition to amnesty and open borders) a centerpiece of his or her campaign. If the Republicans nominate an open borders type or a squishy no-opinion-on-the-issue type in 2016 and later, that will only guarantee the election of whoever the Democrat is.

By “gender sociology” wrecking HRC’s candidacy, I mean either the female crabs in a bucket syndrome (women having the catty hen house dislike of another woman and therefore not wanting to see the other woman get ahead), queen bee syndrome (powerful women who prevent other potentially powerful women from accumulating too much power, evidenced in 2007-8 by all the white women elected politicians who endorsed Obama over HRC early), the polar opposite of queen bee syndrome (semi-powerful political women didn’t want to see a woman President because they subconsciously knew she would start acting queen bee and that would be the end of their own advancement — To wit:  A President Hillary Clinton would appoint as few women as possible to Cabinet level and other important executive positions), or maybe Rush’s theory that nobody wanted to watch an already upper middle aged woman grow old quickly in the public eye (the Presidency is a job that ages you in a hurry), and the “old” look looks more authoritative and power-indicative on men than it does on women, or maybe that there is really a glass ceiling underneath the Oval Office (people, both men and women, don’t want to put a woman in command of the world’s most powerful military — My own mother has said as much, that there should be no woman President as long as our military is that powerful), or maybe there are other factors I can’t even fathom.

The reason I’m all of a sudden saying watch out for Mark Warner to come out of left field is that Andrew Cuomo is too creepy, Biden’s a non-starter because his two previous Presidential campaigns, 1988 and 2008, were also non-starters, and he’s too much of a doofus/spaz, and of course, like I said, HRC’s failure to launch in 2008 for whatever reason will re-present in 2016, and that leaves Warner.

Discuss.

Family Sighs

Florida

Brit Hume, WTF?

BARBARA BUSH isn’t ready for another Bush.  Why should the whole country be?

Hillary’s Millions

Washington, D.C.

NYP:

$14M set for Hill’s new book

Hillary Rodham Clinton inked a deal to write a new book that will come out at the height of the political season next summer, amid industry speculation that her advance could hit $14 million.

Although Clinton has already penned four books, this one has DC buzzing that it could be a launching pad for a second presidential campaign.

Clinton got an $8 million advance for her previous book, while hubby Bill Clinton got $15 million for his memoir, “My Life.”

The new untitled memoir will chronicle Hillary’s “key decisions and experiences as Secretary of State,” according to her publisher, Simon & Schuster.  (Emphasis added)

It will cover the killing of Osama bin Laden, the Arab Spring, China, and Libya. The timing of the release in 2014 will put Clinton on a national book tour just as presidential campaigns are organizing.

I highly doubt this book’s sales will be brisk enough to justify $14m of royalties from S&S to HRC.  So why is S&S ponying up so much so soon?

HRC probably still has outstanding 2008 campaign debt, so this will help her pay that off and whatever is left over will help seed her 2016 candidacy.  S&S is a division of CBS Corporation, a multimedia conglomerate with a lot of assets and a lot of interests.  CBS Corporation, vicariously through S&S, is buying HRC so that she doesn’t sign any legislation harmful to them or uses her influence to push legislation and policy that helps them if she becomes President.

Plain words, we know that CBS News will basically become a PR arm of the HRC for President in 2016 organization.  Because, CNN has already chosen its candidate.

Un-Rand-Pentant

Washington, D.C.

He’s made it plain as he needs to make it.

He’ll never get it.

I’m just might have enough steam left in me to get one more call back from Kris Kobach.  If and when he does, I’m going to try to talk him into running for President in 2016 directly from the Kansas Secretary of State office.  This immigration issue is too important to wait around for Governor or Senate in Kansas to open up, neither will in 2014.  The immigration issue is too important to wait around on some “protocol” that you have to have been this or that before you can be President.  He will almost likely win a second term as SoS next year very easily.  And WTH — Secretary of State is just as much a statewide elected office as Senator or Governor.   He would go into the 2016 campaign season with two statewide election wins under his belt, which is actually what a lot of candidates covet, and which would be more than what many of the 2016 “contenders” have — Rand Paul and Marco Rubio would both only have one statewide election win by then, and in fact, depending on their states’ laws, would have to choose between running for re-election to the Senate and running for President.

One more thing: Rand is actually hurting his own chances to win the Republican nomination by doing this. The big money interests that benefit from open borders also want nothing to do with Rand’s semi-isolationist foreign policy. Especially when there will be choices in the 2016 Republican field who are both for amnesty/open borders AND neo-con FoPo adventurism. (Cough cough, Jeb Bush, cough cough)

Bait and Bush

Florida

Crazy ass off the wall theory on my part.

The Republican end of the open borders lobby really wants Jeb Bush in 2016.  But his last name is still “Bush.”

Could it be they’re talking up Rubio now to bird dog for their real wish, Jeb Bush?

What I mean by that is by late 2015, Rubio will be talked about so much that he’ll already be old worn out news, and there will already be tons of negative baggage out there on him and his name, because someone, some leftist, some MSNBC-type media prick, or someone, will search for some dirt and inevitably find it.  Meanwhile, there will be Jeb Bush, relatively “fresh” but more ironically more experienced (consummated two-term Governor of a swing state, rhetorically polished, “solid” political legacy), there to “save the day.”

Tell me I’m all wet.

What Are New Jersey Democrats Up To?

Trenton, New Jersey

Read it, then come back.

Good, you came back.  You didn’t run out on me.

Other than their usual mischief, I think Democrats in the New Jersey legislature are trying to put the king piece called Chris Christie into political checkmate for 2016.  If he signs this bill, he’s signed away any chance to win the Republican nomination, and at least in these Democrats’ minds, one of the best Republican chances to win the White House in 2016.  If he doesn’t, and wins the Republican nomination somehow, then they’ve created ammunition (no pun intended) for Hillary or Cuomo or Warner or Biden or whoever wins the Democrat nomination to use against him.

Serious Presidential Contender

Florida

Marco Rubio is down with a rapper who was assassinated more than 16 years ago.

I guess Rubio and Krispy Christie are engaged in a race to the bottom to see who can appeal to the low information crowd better.

And Then There Were Two

New Jersey

Booker:  No Gov For Me, I’ll primary Laut in ’14.

Meaning:  Booker is punting his Presidential ambitions to 2020 or later.

Meaning also:  The only two real possibilities for Dem-Prez in ’16 are now Andrew Cuomo and Mark Warner.  Biden is the incumbent Vice-Messiah, but his two Presidential campaigns (1988, 2008) never really went anywhere, and I don’t see any of the sociopolitical reasons which led to his own two candidacies going nowhere changing four years hence, just because he’s the incumbent Vice-Idiot.  Even if HRC does run, nobody is going to want to watch a (by then) almost 70 year old woman grow elderly in the public eye day in and day out doing a job that ages you in a hurry.  Like Biden’s own failed campaigns, HRC also has a failed Presidential run on her resume, and my analysis is still the same:  That which caused her to fail in 2008 won’t subside much by 2016.

Meaning also:  Look for the New Jersey Democrats to offer Laut a lot of candy to retire so that the Next Great Mulatto Messiah Hopeychanger can slide right in.

Meaning also:  There is a Republican dark horse that could stand in Booker’s way.  I’ve been talking her up ever since Krispy Christie picked her as his running mate for Governor in 2009.  She is current Lieutenant Governor Kim Guadagno, formerly a Sheriff of a northern NJ county, liberal on most things but has a very good immigration record, at least while as Sheriff.  If ’14 is a red wave election season, then this filly is more light than dark.

Hillary 45

Washington, D.C.

Newt essentially crowns HRC the 45th President.  Stinkin’ election?  We don’t need no stinkin’ election.

But whatever problems bedevil the country from 2017 to 2021, she will have inherited them from Bush.

Yes, I did have a chance to meet Newt during the Todd Akin campaign, namely Newt’s trip to town to campaign for us in Kirkwood.  Everyone has these lofty expectations of Newt now, thanks to some of his good campaign debates and speeches from the primary and caucus season.  The problem is, Newt seemed disappointingly average both that day in Kirkwood and during his RNC speech (where he showed up with the same wife he had nine months before, some sort of Newt record).  I get the sense that Newt is the kind of guy that takes a long time to get going, his train will take a long time to warm up at the station, and it will pull out slowly and accelerate slowly.  But once he gets going, he really lets it rip.  There’s a catch, though:  Any random branch or twig on the tracks will easily derail him.

Plain words, the days of the zany Newt we all know and love so much, the one that can parlay an unbuilt interstate highway, colonies on the moon, and the day being the anniversary of some semi-significant political or military event that Newt and only Newt cares about, are long gone.

And no, my estimation of him has not improved simply because he picked the right horse in MO-SEN 2012.  He can’t erase all the incompetence at best slash treachery at worst from the days when he actually had political power.  Mike Huckabee is another one:  Why he was ever on board our train is a mystery to me, and why we ever loved him for it is another mystery, save the conventional wisdom that we needed him to win southern Missouri because it’s close to Arkansas.  First off, we didn’t need Huck for that, second, it has been ten years since Huck won a relevant election in Arkansas that resulted in him having political power.  Todd was strong immigration control and mildly anti-interventionist foreign policy through and through, while Huckabee was full throated invade the world invite the world in hock to the world.

No Break

America

Screenshot:

L to R, top to bottom:  Sen. Kelly Ayotte (NH), Michele Bachmann, Jeb Bush, Krispy Christie, Gov. Nimrata Randhawa (SC), Gov. Piyush Jindal (LA), Gov. Susana Martinez (NM), Gov. Bob McDonnell (VA), Rand Paul, Gov.-Elect Mike Pence (IN), Rickroller, Sen. Rob Portman (OH), Marco Rubio, Eddie Munster, Gov. Brian Sandoval (NV), Rickroller II, Jon Cryer, Gov. Scott Walker (WI).

I had to provide a caption.  Most people don’t know who any of these people are.  And, most people would presume that persons number five and six were people with poor English speaking skills yet mysteriously named “Cindy” and “Mark” whom they had to speak with on the phone recently to resolve a customer service issue.

I figure the first debate with 18 podiums will be some time this summer, where Candy Crowley and George Stephanopoulos will ask them one clown question after another about contraceptives and the age of the Earth and underwear and Aqua Buddha and musical instruments and smartphone apps and transubstantiation and love letters and civility and fused sweaters.

Because…Bryce Harper:

And also…no breaks.  Notice I already had to create a “Campaign 2016″ category.