The reason there will be a by-election (special election) is because he resigned his seat in Parliament along with changing parties from Tory to UKIP. And Carswell is in turn going to be the UKIP candidate in the election. I don’t think he had to quit Parliament; he could have just switched parties and that would have been that. Maybe he wanted to do both and run and win as the UKIP candidate to demonstrate the UKIP’s growing popularity to trigger more defections.
Clacton is a pretty good constituency (Parliamentary district) for our cause. In 2010, the BNP candidate got 4.6% of the vote, compared to the BNP’s vote share of 2.1% in all of England and 1.9% in all of the UK. UKIP didn’t even field a candidate in this constituency in 2010.
“If Boris Johnson stands as a Tory?” Isn’t he the Mayor of London? He would have to quit that and move to Clacton. Which I doubt he’ll do being as he would still lose badly to Carswell.
While the UKIP is far from perfect and far from the solution, the reason I recommend voting for UKIP is something that I’ve concluded in my week of blogging vacation — Democratic republicanism is the problem, we can’t vote for “work within the system” our way out of our problems, and as I sit on top of the tower and look over the horizon, white peoples and civilizations are going to need either hereditary monarchies, self-sustaining autocracies or self-sustaining aristocracies in order to survive and thrive, even if they have the superficial veneer of democratic republicanism for outward appearances. The only thing voting and participating in democratic republics can do for us is buy us time. In the UK, which soon may lose Scotland like a bad habit, UKIP buys them time. My recommendation for voting is to vote for the most credible victory-possible candidate or party that is closest to a genuine populist-nationalist. In England, that means UKIP.
As for these poll results, a few bullet points:
* They can’t use the “it’s just a protest vote” bromide anymore. (“Why are you voting UKIP?”)
* They can’t use the “lesser of two evils” or “wasted vote” bromide anymore. (“Voting UKIP will make Ed Miliband the PM”)
* While the “main concerns” question was only of UKIP voters, I think immigration also worries many Tory voters and some older white working class Labour voters.
* Almost half of all Tory voters think Carswell is a hero for leaving the Tories, only 17% think he’s a traitor. Which means half of all Tory voters are that mad at the Tory Party. Kinda sounds like the American Republican Party.
* I think the Rotherham scandal has affected the public mood overall and these poll numbers.