No Shit Sherlock

28 07 2015

Chocolate City St. Louis

Groundbreaking research by Dr. Richard Rosenfeld at UMSL shows that:

…the killings have not been as random as some might think.

“Fifty percent of all the violent crime in St. Louis occurs on just five percent of the street blocks in the city,” he explains. “And those blocks tend to be concentrated in very, very disadvantaged neighborhoods, typically on the city’s north side.”

As for why they’re occurring, Rosenfeld says there’s no single reason but he’s been told that street prices for heroin are running at historic lows right now.

It goes on to semi-justify whack-a-mole then to doubt the Ferguson Effect.

There is such a revolving door between the SLPD and UMSL’s Criminology Department (*) that I tend to be a little skeptical about some of the politically loaded conclusions from their research, in this case, research that is way more duh than wow.  I bet if they looked harder, they would find that almost all of the violent crime occurs within one race of people.

It also looks like we have a newly minted excuse that we’ll hear over and over, so that public officials make sure we don’t blame public officials and everyone important can use to make sure we don’t notice things — Record low heroin prices.  Though that doesn’t make sense to me — It would seem to me that illicit dope prices would have to be sky high in order to fuel violence between those in rival dope gangs and other associated kinds of violence, because the stakes would be much higher.  Lower dope prices should mean less violence.  And even if heroin prices were higher, you have to wonder how much difference by itself it would actually make — After the very violent post-riot May in Baltimore, we heard the excuse that it was all the pills that rioters looted from pharmacies, except someone did the math and that was no more than a drop in the bucket.  Furthermore, if heroin prices are low, could it possibly be because supply is at a record high due to non-existent southern border enforcement and the Camp of the Saints at that same border that has been going on for more than a year?

But still, get ready to hear it non-stop with every new fresh body on the pavement:   BAWK AMENDMENT 5!  BAWK LOW HEROIN PRICES!

(*) – Dan Isom, who was SLPD Chief before Dotson, left to head UMSL’s Criminology Department, and he left that to run the State DPS as Nixon was throwing #BlackLiesMatter a bone in the Ferguson aftermath, and after awhile, Isom left DPS to go back to running UMSL Criminology.  The proposed armed offender docket for the 22nd, aka “gun court,” would heavily involve and would mean special grants and contracts to UMSL Criminology for research and analysis, which is one of the reasons why Larry Dierker was able to convince the other judges on the 22nd not to adopt it.



10 responses

28 07 2015


I doubt you read Vox, so you might be interested in this. Scroll down to the part about “open boarders”. Klein got so confused I half expected his head to start spinning around, smoking while repeating BAD COMMAND OR FILE NAME.

28 07 2015

I read Vox sometimes, mainly for the Voxsplaining. I’ll get to this later today, but I know that Bernie Sanders has been somewhat skeptical of invite-the-world for quite awhile, even if it rarely shows up in his voting record.

28 07 2015

Just read it, and as luck would have it, Steve Sailer just blogged about it, too. I think with Bernie Sanders’s age and place, he might be forgiven to think that “right wing” only means the Koch Brothers, the Bushes and the open borders cheap labor Republican establishment. Because that’s a pretty old very out of date paradigm. And he doesn’t seem to understand how pervasive that same mentality is in the modern left. However, the point remains, just based on these few paragraphs, Sanders has way more sense than most Democrats or quasi-Democrats, almost as much as Jim Webb on this issue, and better sense than half the Republicans running.

Like I said, his voting record belies this, though.

29 07 2015
Mr Olorin

You are correct about all of this, Count.

The problem is that the “progressives” who worship him do not seem to realize it. Or they realize it but are too cowardly to speak up. The question is how to get grass roots progressivism back to its eugenicist closed borders roots.

I know you’ve seen this:

But maybe some of your more recent readers have not.

BTW, I love that term “disadvantaged.” Makes me go right to my American Heritage Dictionary etymology.

Dis + advantage comes from advantage, which in turn comes from advance:

mid-13c., avauncen, transitive, “improve (something), further the development of,” from Old French avancier “move forward” (12c.), from Vulgar Latin *abanteare (source of Italian avanzare, Spanish avanzar), from Late Latin abante “from before,” composed of ab- “from” (see ab-) + ante “before, in front of, against” (see ante).

Thus we see that “disadvantaged” is tiptoe-around-the-truth Academic/PoliticalSpeak for “atavistic, backward, unevolved.”

28 07 2015

very disadvantaged neighborhoods

In what way are they disadvantaged? I’d like to hear this question asked. Once at least.

28 07 2015

Any neighborhood with blacks in it is at a disadvantage.

If there are a lot of blacks, it’s a concentrated disadvantage.

28 07 2015

I’d have very little difficulty characterizing a town in Appalachia as “disadvantaged” as would most people.

Disadvantaged means a concentration of poverty combined with a lack of (legal) decent paying job prospects.

28 07 2015
David In TN

Yep. If the heroin prices were running at “historic highs,” that would be blamed for the increase in crime.

Anything but blaming those responsible.

16 08 2015
The Sunday Deep Dive | Countenance Blog

[…] and one of his reasons was that it would have been a useless social work experiment feeding the SLPD-UMSL revolving door.  Now that I have read this article out of Baltimore this weekend, I now think that maybe Dierker […]

25 09 2015
Well No Fucking Duh, Part 2 | Countenance Blog

[…] I was especially interested, because St. Louis is implementing this sort of “Comp-Stat” predictive analysis.  Just as there’s a KCPD-UMKC partnership, and a Memphis PD-University of Memphis partnership, there’s a SLPD-UMSL partnership in this matter, mainly because there’s a SLPD-UMSL revolving door. […]

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