Empire State Open Thread

19 04 2016

New York

CW has HRC winning handily and Trump winning by a landslide.

I usually do this in the comment section, but because I’m thinking about it now, I’ll put it here, and later, when we find out the vote totals, I’ll fill in this year’s number.

TOTAL TURNOUT

Republicans

2008: 670,078
2012: 190,515
2016: 880,804

Democrats

2008: 1,862,445
2016: 1,814,260

The 2012 primary in NYS was well after Romney had the nomination psychologically locked up, which explains the puny turnout.


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11 responses

19 04 2016
countenance

No Republican ballots in Harlem. Some are saying fraud, but I think it’s just a matter of past performance and future results. After all, how many Republican voters does one expect to find in HARLEM? Or, maybe, in this case, today, because some wanted them, perhaps it’s a very good sign for Trump.

http://newyork.cbslocal.com/2016/04/19/primary-day-voting-problems/

19 04 2016
Hard Right

Exit polls are looking good.

Trump 61%
Kucksick 24%
Big Ricky 15%

19 04 2016
countenance

Fox already calls R for Trump. All that matters is how the numbers play out in various parts of the state, b/c NYS is not winner take all.

19 04 2016
countenance

John Kasich’s home state: Kasich 47%, Trump 36%

Ted Cruz’s home state: Cruz 44%, Trump 27%

Marco Rubio’s home state: Trump 46%, Rubio 27% (Rubio only got 24% outside of Miami Dade Co)

If these exits are indicative of real results, then it will be by far the best showing by a candidate in his home state.

19 04 2016
sondjata

Katich takes Manhattan? Now that’s news

19 04 2016
countenance

Yeah I noticed that myself. That’s why he’s staying in the race. Even though very few votes were cast for any Republican candidate in Manhattan, just for the fact that Kasich won it means that he’s the candidate of Manhattan Republicans, Trump’s home base no less, which means Kasich has a lot of news media steam.

19 04 2016
Hard Right

19 04 2016
countenance

Tonight is probably TKO in both parties.

19 04 2016
countenance

I only see two counties in which Cruz even finished in second place, and in both cases, they were barely second and light years behind Trump: Kings (Brooklyn), Wyoming (rural western, near Buffalo)

20 04 2016
countenance

Even if Trump doesn’t hit 1237 based on primary and caucus votes, the Republican universe this year will have around 200 free agent delegates that, if this narrative is to be believed, will behave very much like Democrat Party superdelegates, even though the Republicans don’t use superdels, in that they’ll wait around to see who wins the popular vote and resultant delegates-based-on-votes race, then go with the flow.

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/trumps-real-magic-number-is-less-than-1-237-222184

20 04 2016
countenance

Finally we got the turnout totals. Democrats slightly down delta 08, Republicans significantly up delta 08, like I said, 12 was irrelevant b/c it was held after Romney had it locked up.




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