Nebraska and West Virginia
But still, you get an open thread anyway.
TURNOUT (2016 numbers TBA)
Both states held their 2008 and 2012 Republican primaries in early-ish May, meaning in both instances, they were held after McCain and Romney mathematically clinched the nomination. In the case of this year, Trump has TKOed the field but not mathematically clinched. Trump will easily win VW, and in spite of the fact that Cruz has dropped out, I think Cruz could make it close in NE; if he was still running and viable, Cruz would win NE, because it’s his wheelhouse sort of state. It borders three states he has already won.
The Nebraska Democrat caucuses have already happened, and Bern won those. He’s expected to win West Virginia easily today. WV’s D turnout in 2008 was 359,910, and conventional wisdom has it being way way way down today. (UPDATE: 241,016, so it was.) Remember, four years ago, when Obama was in a re-election year, some felon in Federal prison got 40% in West Virginia in the D primary versus Obama.