Yeah, I had you going there for a second, didn’t I?
Peanut gallery be like: “GET YERR MIND OUT OF TEH GUTTER LOL~!!!!!1”
OREGON TURNOUT (with today’s numbers TBA)
The Oregon primaries were held in May in both previous cycles, and by then, the nominee was clear, so the turnout comparison will be apples to apples.
Kentucky Democrats also go today. Bern is expected to win both Democrat events today. Which is getting some, (cough cough Drudge, cough cough LAT), to ask: If he’s on such a winning streak, why is HRC the presumptive nominee? That’s actually an easy question to answer, even if the answer makes Democrats uncomfortable. As of right now, HRC has 25 wins to Bern’s 20, 1716 delegates won based on contests to Bern’s 1433 (i.e. not counting supers, who will go with the plurality winner if s/he doesn’t get to 2382 based on winning contests), and 12.5m votes to Bern’s 9.4m. She will still be leading in all three counts after today’s results. And, in a lot of ways, HRC versus Bern this year is like HRC versus Obama in 2008, the demographics are lining up the same way. With one YUGE exception: HRC has the blacks this time, Obama had them in 2008. Which means black voters, the elderly church ladies, are the singular difference.
Republicans used caucuses this year and earlier this spring, as opposed to a May primary in 2012 and 2008; that was part of the Rand Paul and Kentucky legislature manipulation to let Rand run for both President and for Senate re-election at the same time, the Republicans had to do just a caucus this year and hold it earlier in the calendar. Such as it is, Senate party primaries are today in Kentucky, too.