Needless to say, this will be my only post today.
So far, the turnout has been pretty low all over, and I don’t think it will get to the predicted 31% statewide. Ordinarily, that would seem surprising, because of MO-GOV-R being contentious and that there is a non-incumbent situation in St. Louis City Circuit Attorney and St. Louis City Sheriff for the first time since 2000 and 1988, respectively. Not to mention how acrimonious AG-R has been. However, like I’ve been saying here and elsewhere repeatedly since the crop of MO-GOV-R candidates announced, none of them is substantively different from the other, and since there are no real political or ideological fault lines, there is no turnout driver. I’m still sticking by my contention that Chris Koster beats whoever wins this in November solely because of RTW/PP. SEN-R and SEN-D are foregone conclusions, so obviously that’s not going to drive turnout. And, AG-R is too downballot and, at least on the surface, not being waged ideologically, to drive a big turnout. Even in St. Louis City, where, like I said, two offices that are rarely open are open, the turnout is weak.
I totally overlooked it, because I’ve been paying no attention to downballot Democrat, but Lacy Clay has a credible even if non-threatening primary challenge from Maria Chappelle-Nadal, the latter got fifteen from Ferguson. Even that’s not helping to drive turnout anywhere in MO-1, either in St. Louis City or the parts of it in St. Louis County.
I am also surprised that there is no discussion of the MO-GOV-R candidate not there because he committed suicide a year and a half ago.