Missouri Primary 2016 Results Open Thread

2 08 2016

Jefferson City

Needless to say, this will be my only post today.

So far, the turnout has been pretty low all over, and I don’t think it will get to the predicted 31% statewide.  Ordinarily, that would seem surprising, because of MO-GOV-R being contentious and that there is a non-incumbent situation in St. Louis City Circuit Attorney and St. Louis City Sheriff for the first time since 2000 and 1988, respectively.  Not to mention how acrimonious AG-R has been.  However, like I’ve been saying here and elsewhere repeatedly since the crop of MO-GOV-R candidates announced, none of them is substantively different from the other, and since there are no real political or ideological fault lines, there is no turnout driver.  I’m still sticking by my contention that Chris Koster beats whoever wins this in November solely because of RTW/PP.  SEN-R and SEN-D are foregone conclusions, so obviously that’s not going to drive turnout.  And, AG-R is too downballot and, at least on the surface, not being waged ideologically, to drive a big turnout.  Even in St. Louis City, where, like I said, two offices that are rarely open are open, the turnout is weak.

I totally overlooked it, because I’ve been paying no attention to downballot Democrat, but Lacy Clay has a credible even if non-threatening primary challenge from Maria Chappelle-Nadal, the latter got fifteen from Ferguson.  Even that’s not helping to drive turnout anywhere in MO-1, either in St. Louis City or the parts of it in St. Louis County.

I am also surprised that there is no discussion of the MO-GOV-R candidate not there because he committed suicide a year and a half ago.


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23 responses

2 08 2016
Hard Right

Little busier than I thought it would be. Must’ve been around ten people while I was there. Had two in front of me. One old guy was at the wrong place. Guess he’d moved recently and didn’t realize he was in a different ward.

Negress at the head of the table. I gave her my Voter ID. She wanted my driver’s license. I wouldn’t give it to her. They can scan licenses. I made her fill out my info by hand.

Only heard one person ask for a Commiecrat ballot. Somebody was running against Hartzler. No idea who he is, but I voted for him anyway.

2 08 2016
countenance

BTW something must have happened with Eric Schmitt’s token opponent in Treas-R, b/c Schmitt was the only one on the ballot.

2 08 2016
countenance

Name on SEN-D: Chief Wana Dubie. I hope whoever that is gives Jason Kander some problems today.

3 08 2016
Hard Right

He came in third with 9.5%.

2 08 2016
countenance

Greitens, Brunner, Hanaway all from St. Louis County, Kindercare from Cape. He’ll win his own county, but I think the rest of the counties in the state will be very similar in their results.

2 08 2016
countenance

About 8:30, 7% in, Greitens and Hawley are leading their respective races, and by comfy margins. If both win, then it shows you what a foul anti-incumbent mood this electorate is in.

2 08 2016
countenance

Hawley winning St. Louis County absentees by about 2-1, so I think I can call AG-R for him. Hanaway winning the same for GOV-R, which means when its real boxes start coming in, GOV-R complexion could change in a hurry.

2 08 2016
A. Kulak

I know your focused on the primary, but here’s a Sessio Volans sighting.

http://www.occidentaldissent.com/2016/08/02/refugees-riot-in-german-courthouse/

2 08 2016
countenance

Duly noted.

2 08 2016
countenance

If Tom Schweich had not committed suicide and been in this race tonight competing for votes, would it have mattered? He would have been the state party establishment favorite far and away, and, considering who is leading in both GOV-R and AG-R so far, being the party establishment favorite and a previously elected official would have been the kiss of death.

Also, while this is a couple of states, Paul Ryan should be really worried for the way things are going tonight in this state.

3 08 2016
2 08 2016
countenance

40% in, in St. Louis County. While Greitens only has a 2 point lead there, what matters is that he is leading, meaning that St. Louis County won’t help anyone else overtake him. One of the others needed to win it and win it big to overcome the lead he’s accumulated elsewhere. I think he has this thing won.

Also, Hawley has 72% in St. Louis County, though I called this for him awhile ago.

2 08 2016
Thomas

Doesn’t look like Kinder’s Rush Limbaugh endorsement bought him anything outside of Southeast Missouri:

http://www.stltoday.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/live-map-missouri-governor-s-race-county-by-county/html_6d0e84ec-c5bd-57dc-8fe6-8143d013a6fa.html

2 08 2016
countenance

That’s gonna be one of things I’m going to touch on tomorrow.

2 08 2016
countenance

Both nominees for Governor are former members of the other party.

2 08 2016
countenance

STL CA-D is a stunner, the one who did the least apparent campaigning won and won big, that being Kim Gardner. But she’s not some nobody, she currently holds House-77. And, my Tweet about her leading after the first city boxes came in was RTed by none other than Lizz Brown, so I bet she was for Gardner, which also means Gardner has cache among militant and obsessive blacks. If my theory is right, then St. Louis just elected a Marilyn Mosby type as Circuit Attorney.

3 08 2016
Hard Right

Greitens did better than I thought he would. Hartzler won with 72%. At least there’s a Libertarian running against her.

3 08 2016
Hard Right

Cleaver won with 88%. Shocking, huh? Clay only got 63%.

3 08 2016
countenance

A Soros front group gave Kim Gardner $200k.

Like I said, Marilyn Mosby.

3 08 2016
countenance

Also yesterday, and more Ruh Roh for Paul Ryan. And it’s strange, too — Tim Huelskamp was actually pretty good, but he just let the Cruz cultism get the better of him. Remember, Cruz won the Kansas caucuses very handily.

http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2016/08/nevertrump-ks-lawmaker-loses-primary-pro-trump-upstart/

3 08 2016
countenance

After weeks and weeks of Tony Messenger and John Danforth wonder twin activated to peddle an out right lie that anti-Semitic bullying caused Tom Schweich to commit suicide and impugning the state Republican Party and its voter universe in the process, what do we end up with? A Jew, an actual Jew, wins the race anyway. Evidently, Greitens is Jewish, unlike Schweich, whose father was Jewish, while Schweich himself was Episcopalian.

3 08 2016
dk

yeah but for a jew he isn’t too Jewy

3 08 2016
countenance

And I didn’t even know he is Jewish until yesterday; he certainly didn’t make an issue of it during the campaign.




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