You Wanted a Hot Prediction

9 08 2016

Janesville, Wisconsin

Paul Nehlen is doing precisely what he needs to do to pull off this upset.  And that is, going balls-to-the-wall populist, instead of kvetching about conservative purity.

The problem is that Wisconsin is just too nice and not hardened or jaded enough.  Also, Paul Ryan is Speaker of the House, which counts for a whole lot.

I think Ryan squeaks out a narrow win.


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30 responses

9 08 2016
Robin

Did you remember the student center looking like a mall?

9 08 2016
countenance

Not much like one.

9 08 2016
Robin

It is now.

9 08 2016
countenance

Last time I even set foot there was 2005. And then it wasn’t to the student center.

9 08 2016
Robin

Big building, round, green roof.

9 08 2016
Robin

I have been cramming. Calculus (Khan Academy), macroeconomics, Excel, Access

9 08 2016
eah

going balls-to-the-wall populist

You mean unlike Trump? Who endorsed Ryan. I was rather disappointed by that.

9 08 2016
countenance

I think that was a Machiavellian move, so that Trump wouldn’t be blamed, for the sake of “party unity,” if Nehlen wins.

9 08 2016
Cecil

If Ryan wins, I believe the creep will use it as a mandate to continue to thwart Trump.

9 08 2016
countenance

If he wins by only a little or even loses, don’t count on anyone learning the right lesson. Remember what Stalin 2016 said: “I don’t care who casts the votes, I don’t care who counts the votes, I care about who interprets the results.”

9 08 2016
David In TN

If Trump loses, even by a narrow margin, the cucks, neocons, conservatism inc, plan to go back to business as usual.

9 08 2016
countenance

But this time, “business as usual” will mean they’ll be all alone in their walled garden.

9 08 2016
Hard Right

Won’t matter. They’ve got all the money.

9 08 2016
Robin

Shout an encouraging slogan at me. I’m nervous!

9 08 2016
countenance

Seriously, you’re looking to ME for encouragement?

9 08 2016
Robin

Yeah..Why not?

9 08 2016
Hard Right

Unfortunately, I agree. Ryan wins. Stupid Party sees it as proof they are correct.

9 08 2016
Robin

Wanna meet me?

9 08 2016
countenance

If I wanted to, I can’t now, not until at least Monday after next, as I’m now in Sedalia.

9 08 2016
Robin

qd?

9 08 2016
countenance

Yeah?

9 08 2016
Hard Right

Anybody got any numbers yet? Media acting like it wasn’t even close.

9 08 2016
Hard Right

According to DecisionDeskHQ 79.8% reporting. Ryan 84.4%. Nehlen 15.6%.

9 08 2016
Cecil

Let’s send our illegal aliens to WI-1.

9 08 2016
AnAnon

In 2014 Ryan won roughly 60-40 vs the democrat, and it looks like the democrats broke hard for Ryan in the primary. There were 60k votes for the republican primary, but only 20k for the democrat primary, and I doubt that sort of margin will hold for the general. Granted you can’t directly compare the primary to the general election.

9 08 2016
AnAnon

Assuming that’s 12k votes for Ryan though doesn’t paint an encouraging picture, Nehlen still would have lost huge without them.

9 08 2016
AnAnon

one final point, the OD breakdown: http://www.occidentaldissent.com/2016/08/10/paul-ryan-wins-his-primary-battle/

Bottom line: this was Cruz country, which means NeverTrump.

9 08 2016
countenance

Gonna be a 5-1 blowout. I could have handled Ryan ekeing this thing out rather than this landslide.

WI-1 must really be a nice place to live.

9 08 2016
Hard Right

I’ve got an assignment for you while you’re in Sedalia. See if you can find out why there are so many spics there. They’re nine percent of the population. I thought Joplin was bad.

10 08 2016
countenance

This also happened last night. The Somalians in that district have finally accumulated the demographic punch to topple the parentheses.

https://voxday.blogspot.com/2016/08/the-end-of-jewish-rule.html




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