Thinking Cap

28 11 2016

Washington, D.C.

WaPo:

Donald Trump lost most of the American economy in this election

By Jim Tankersley

In the modern era of presidential politics, no candidate has ever won the popular vote by more than Hillary Clinton did this year, yet still managed to lose the electoral college. In that sense, 2016 was a historic split: Donald Trump won the presidency by as much as 74 electoral votes (depending on how Michigan ends up) while losing the nationwide vote to Clinton by 1.7 million votes and counting.

But there’s another divide exposed by the election, which researchers at the Brookings Institution recently discovered as they sifted the election returns. It has no bearing on the election outcome, but it tells us something important about the state of the country and its politics moving forward.

The divide is economic, and it is massive. According to the Brookings analysis, the less-than-500 counties that Clinton won nationwide combined to generate 64 percent of America’s economic activity in 2015. The more-than-2,600 counties that Trump won combined to generate 36 percent of the country’s economic activity last year.

(snip)

As Muro notes, many state legislatures are divided on similar grounds, between higher-output metro areas and lower-output rural ones. Often, that divide pushes governors of those states, even the ones who hail from cities, to push hard for economic development in lower-output areas.

Uh, Jim? That’s precisely why Trump won.

Think it through.

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4 responses

28 11 2016
Joshua Sinistar

Yeah sure. There are lies, damned lies and statistics, right? Take away the welfare and government “jobs” and what is left? I expect a small cabal of jews running payday loans, rent-to-keep renting shops and the ever present pawn shop fencing operations. Add the Government SBA loan Indian Subcontinent small businesses stolen with American Tax Dollars, and you have the Ghetto.
If the parasites are sucking up more than half of the economy, that explains the Economic Collapse, not any of Trump’s policies.

28 11 2016
David In TN

This reminds me of the NY Times “reporter” who was indignant that so many people were in prison while “crime was down.”

28 11 2016
John Vawter

I think the numbers below reflect your “Queen Bee Syndrome” idea. For Rodham to win she’d have to carry more college-educated white women, and get more of them to the polls like Obama did with older black women. She did beat Trump, but not in a landslide.

Whites overall w/degrees: 49% for Trump and 45% for Clinton
White men w/degrees: 54% for Trump and 39% for Clinton
White women w/degrees: 45% for Trump and 51% for Clinton

1 12 2016
AnAnon

“In the modern era of presidential politics, no candidate has ever won the popular vote by more than Hillary Clinton did this year, yet still managed to lose the electoral college.” – there was that whole GOP spoiler campaign that was run against him. that might be responsible.

“Uh, Jim? That’s precisely why Trump won.” – Could anything have possibly depressed the economic output of these areas Trump won? Perhaps something he campaigned on?




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