The Hill has this long spread about CA-GOV next year, with Lt. Gov. and former San Francisco Mayor Gavin “Any Twosome” Newsom as the favorite.
Something I’ve noticed is that as Los Angeles turns into Guatemala, the political heart of California now beats in the Bay Area instead of L.A. It seems as if Bay Area politicians want L.A. to turn into Guatemala for that reason, and that, they realize, unlike a certain now-discredited consultant-donor class of a certain political party, there is no ZOMG GREAT HISPANIC VOTER TIDAL WAVE LOL~!!!!!1!1!1
From the article:
Conventional, if counterintuitive, wisdom in California holds that a Democrat with a political base in the San Francisco Bay Area holds an edge over a Democrat from the more populous Los Angeles area. Bay Area voters turn out at higher percentages and vote more reliably Democratic than Angeleno voters.
If the wisdom is conventional, then it’s recent, but not counterintuitive, for reasons I just described.
The most important California politicians since 2010? Jerry Brown (Oakland), Kamala Harris (San Francisco), Dianne Feinstein (San Francisco), Barbara Boxer (Marin County, though late in her time in the Senate, she moved to the Palm Springs area officially). And, the odds on favorite to replace Brown as Governor is the aforementioned San Franciscan, Mr. Newsom.