Verhandlungsgeschick

20 06 2018

Berlin

Guten Abend aus Dresden.

I must break my self-imposed blogging embargo, because I want to prevent you from being bamboozled by something that appears to be good news today.  Before you start cheering, as someone who is currently in the other country mentioned here, time for a bitter reality check:

Germans just aren’t that into American cars, no matter the price. I think I’ve seen more flags containing the visage of Stalin here than I have American cars on the roads.

That’s the base problem.

But there’s a compounding factor that will make it worse:

American “cars?”

In case you haven’t noticed, the American car industry is getting out of the “car” business. It won’t be but a few more years that the American car industry is almost entirely SUVs and trucks.

So, we think that a people, already predisposed against American cars, are going to rush out and buy gas guzzling land whales simply because they’re about to be somewhat cheaper. With current gas prices in Germany in the $6.30s a gallon, (after converting for units and exchange rates, obviously, gas stations in Germany show gas prices by Euros per liter), the 2018 Lincoln Navigator, which in the real world gets 18 miles to the gallon (metric cultures express fuel economy by flipping the convention, expressing total fuel used in liters given a fixed distance, in this case, liters per 100 km, meaning 18 mi/gal translates to 13.1L/100km), is really going to fly off the dealer lots. Not.

Meanwhile, German cars are way more popular in the United States than American cars are in Germany, and German cars (i.e. the ones not already made in the United States) are about to become less expensive than they were before the start of these proceedings.

Executive Summary: The Krauts just rolled us on the real, even if Trump and Grenell do a lot of football spiking for public theatrics.

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20 06 2018
Verhandlungsgeschick, Part II | Countenance Blog

[…] combined with the German car tariff defeat, means that Our Master Negotiator-In-Chief is having a really bad first half of this […]

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