Cuck Island Votes Tomorrow

11 12 2019

London

I happen to think Boris Johnson is politically overrated, in terms of what I want and I know what most of you reading these words want.  I still can’t buy anyone who has been mayor of London in recent times truly wanting Brexit, even a non-hard variety.

But he should also not be underestimated.  His somewhat buffoonish persona and looks masks someone smart enough to drop the most obscure of Ancient Greek or Roman references on a whim.  As much as I’m partial to Nigel Farage, even he seems rather Lilliputian stacked against BoJo.  And don’t even think about schmuck Jeremy Corbyn.  Or whoever leads the Learning Disableds these days.  I think BoJo could beat back any major British political figure since Margaret Thatcher.

Plain words, I think tomorrow night will be rather short and drama-free, and have lots of good news for Britain’s blue team.

Complicating matters for Nigel Farage and the Brexit Party formally is that two elements that constituted wind to their backs and structural advantages back in May during the MEPs are going to turn right around and be wind to their faces and structural disadvantages tomorrow:  One, the MEPs are a proportional representation system, the D’Hondt Method, while British domestic elections are First Past the Post, and two, they only needed to be one trick ponies during the MEPs to finish in first place, but the politics of British domestic elections are forcing him and BP candidates to expound their positions on many issues, which will inevitably repel people, as opposed to a mere singular Brexit position.  That, and a vote for something like a Brexit Party is substantial in MEP cycles, but “wasted” in British domestic elections.

What will be new for me is that, in the past, because my time zone was six hours behind Britain, I could watch the results in the late afternoon through the evening.  Since I’m now an hour ahead of Britain, I’ll be finding out what unfolded when I wake up on Friday.


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25 responses

12 12 2019
countenance

BBC predicts an absolute majority for BoJo and the Tories, with big gains for the Tories and big losses for Labour.

Some polling in the last day showed it razor close.

If it turns out being that, then this was basically the second and binding Brexit vote in all essence.

And I told you not to underestimate BoJo.

12 12 2019
countenance

If the BBC projection is close to true, it means that, while the worry going into day was Farage/BP hurting the Tories, it turned out to have been the SNP gaining in Scotland thereby severely hurting Labour.

12 12 2019
countenance

If the BBC projection is pretty close to true, then BoJo will have bested any Thatcher result.

I wrote in my prediction that BoJo could beat any major British political figure since Thatcher, as it may turn out, I should have also included Thatcher.

12 12 2019
countenance

Brexit Party is projected to get zero seats.

Like I said, BoJo seemed to have been able to consolidate all of the Brexit energy behind him.

12 12 2019
countenance

The real test of BoJo’s skill will come in 2024-5, when the one trick of the one trick Brexit pony is no longer a thing.

12 12 2019
countenance

Another lingering story from tonight is the continuing fall of the European center-left. The last time British Labour won a national election was 2005, the German SDPs 2002, the French Socialists the French Presidency in 1988.

12 12 2019
countenance

My last update for the night, half past midnight as I write this.

Just about all of the Labour to Tory flips for seats that have been Labour for a long time are going to be WCW demographics.

12 12 2019
Hard Right

They’re still cucked when some doorknob can be fined $1200 just for posting a video.

12 12 2019
Hard Right

12 12 2019
Hard Right

12 12 2019
Hard Right

12 12 2019
Hard Right

12 12 2019
Hard Right

12 12 2019
Hard Right

Liberal Democrat Leader Jo Swinson Is Unseated as MP

https://www.vice.com/en_uk/article/dygg5v/liberal-democrat-leader-jo-swinson-loses-seat

Jo Swinson started the election saying she would be prime minister. She is no longer even an MP.

In one of the many upsets of the general election, Swinson has been unseated as the MP for East Dunbartonshire in Scotland. She lost to Scottish National Party (SNP) contender Amy Callaghan by 149 votes.

13 12 2019
countenance

The Learning Disableds had some good results in Tory/Remain constituencies in and around London, but the other side of the coin was that they did miserably everywhere else, including this.

12 12 2019
Hard Right

13 12 2019
countenance

I listened to Boris Johnson’s acceptance speech for his own MP seat, and major party leaders’ speeches in this stead double as having national importance. I was surprised that his was both so short and didn’t drop the usual reference to Greco-Roman history and/or literature.

13 12 2019
countenance

The media the day after are wondering what was so different between 2017 and 2019.

I saw the answer twice, first in Salzburg in September 2018, and then again in Omaha Beach back in June.

Theresa May looks like Cruella De Vil.

BTW, she’s still in the HOC, she won another term yesterday.

13 12 2019
countenance

I happen to think the criticism of “it was all Brexit” is true. Because I think there was another major driver at work: WCWs left Labour because of its increasing social radicalism.

13 12 2019
countenance

The worry in the leading weeks was that the Brexit Party would bleed off of the Tories throwing marginals to Labour. In reality, the BP bled off of Labour to throw a lot of marginals to the Tories.

Ditto the SNP in Scotland. I think there, Scottish voters defensively voted for the SNP instead of Labour, in anticipation of Brexit looking like it will happen.

13 12 2019
countenance

And, the end result of yesterday is that, other than Brexit, nothing substantive will change in our favor.

13 12 2019
Hard Right

It’ll still be fun to gloat this weekend.

13 12 2019
Hard Right

13 12 2019
Hard Right

16 12 2019
Hard Right

It's your dime, spill it. And also...NO TROLLS ALLOWED~!

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