Primary Election Results Open Thread.

5 08 2020

Guest post by Puggg

Gardner, Carl, Bush, Clay, Medicaid, everything.  Let’s talk about it.  Up in Lincoln County, there was what most would think is a big upset for Sheriff, the incumbent was voted out.  That wasn’t that much of a surprise to me, because he’s been on thin ice for some time.


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26 responses

5 08 2020
The Gentle Grizzly

How are things looking on the Gardner front?

5 08 2020
Puggg

She won, Gardner 60, Carl 40. Honestly it’s what I feared.

5 08 2020
The Gentle Grizzly

She even looks nasty.

5 08 2020
countenance

Thanks, saves me the time from having to look it up. I am also and likewise unsurprised.

5 08 2020
Hard Right

LOL. Clay got beat by a homeless single mommy.

5 08 2020
countenance

I’ve been paying some attention to all this out of the side of my eye and a long way away, in the middle of all these chores. I’ve got a few things to say, but later this evening.

5 08 2020
Hard Right

What’s the matter with Kansas?

5 08 2020
countenance

I’ll just deal with that here, because I don’t think it’s complicated at all:

The right of center section of the open borders lobby threw a big ass temper tantrum.

5 08 2020
countenance

I’ll deal with the two big things one comment at a time.

I’ll start with Clay-Bush.

I point you to my posts here from two years ago at this time, during that weird month and a half period between coming back to St. Louis from the vacation then returning to Germany after getting the job offer. A time period I call my purgatory, or my interregnum.

https://countenance.wordpress.com/2018/08/08/the-lesson-of-cori-bush/

https://countenance.wordpress.com/2018/07/18/the-big-things-that-happened-while-i-was-away/

Also, in March of last year, Cori Bush herself claimed that she was being physically targeted because of her Ferguson activism, in an article about so many Ferguson protestors mysteriously dying. My response to that was that the Clay machine was probably the ones targeting her, because she was actually a threat to them.

https://www.amren.com/news/2019/03/six-protesters-in-the-2014-ferguson-riots-are-dead/

What must have happened in the last two years is that Bush’s good showing two years ago created momentum behind her. I also think that enough of Clay’s loyal voters, the elderly black women who voted for Clay Senior and then Clay Junior over and over again because Senior marched in front of Jefferson Bank in 1968, have passed on. Enough of both things combined to push her over the top, yesterday. Another factor contributing to yesterday and the almost of two years ago is that MO-1 now contains all of St. Louis City, has since 2012. Bush appeals to ideological doctrinaire white (and other) progressives, and there are more and more of those in south city.

I bet if you drill down, you will find what happened yesterday is that, just as two years ago, Clay did better in the county than the city. But the big difference is the overall margins. Off top envelope guesstimate is that Clay barely beat Bush in the county, but Bush beat Clay by a healthy margin in the city, yesterday.

Like I wrote in one of my two years ago posts, when there are internecine fights among people that are apparently close to 100% the same, bet on some taboo under the surface factors behind it. In the case of the AOC-style insurgency versus old black/Democrat war horses, I think it all boils down to the military-industrial complex and Israel. During my honeymoon, I saw, Eliot Engel (D-NY), as pro-Israel as anyone can be, got turned out in the Democrat primary by a black middle school principal who is openly anti-Israel. Which not only proves my Israel speculation, but also that these taboo matters are now coming above the surface.

5 08 2020
Alright Dan

Off top envelope guesstimate is that Clay barely beat Bush in the county, but Bush beat Clay by a healthy margin in the city, yesterday.

Your “envelope” is working well.

City part of CD-1: Bush, 51.5%. Clay 41.6%. About 70K votes cast total.
County part of CD-1: Clay 48.9%. Bush 45.9%. About 78K votes cast total.

Remember that not all of the county’s part of CD-1 is north, a little part of Lemay is in it.

5 08 2020
countenance

The Medicaid thing.

A few months ago, I saw an item in the Post-Dispatch section of my feed reader about Parson and Co. holding a special meeting about how matters with the state budget would have to be carried about going forward in the circumstance of this Medicaid matter passing. The tone of the article was such that it led me to think that it was a foregone conclusion that it would pass, and everyone knew it, and that what was going on in these meetings was way more serious than hypothetical discussion.

I see the actual margin was something like 53-47; I would have thought it would have been much wider. But still, it got what its proponents needed.

All I need to say is this: Those nice low cigarette, gas and beer prices in Missouri? It’s going to be a shame, because something is about to happen to them. With a catch: Because of the Hancock Amendment, any tax increase more than a certain anticipated yearly revenue increase has to go to the voters, and not once in my lifetime of paying attention have the state voters approved of either a gas or cig tax increase. Knowing Jefferson City like I do, or used to, (if you’re new here, I used to be a lobbyist around state government), the tactic they’re going to use, well, you know me, and the only way I can express these things, with Johnny Cash’s final #1 song of his career:

One piece at a time. Salami slicing.

I figure it’ll go down like this, or rather, the taxes on cigs, gas and maybe also beer, will go up like this: The state’s R and D party establishments will collude to make those in the state House and Senate “an offer they can’t refuse.” Basically a combination of carrots and sticks, to make sure that enough of them vote for and keep voting for it. And by “it,” I mean the annual salami slice slight increase in either cigarette, gas and/or beer taxes, each individual increase will be under the Hancock limit. And keep on doing it every year and every legislative session until Missouri’s cig/gas/beer taxes are still lower than surrounding states, but higher than what they are now.

5 08 2020
countenance

Remember I wrote here yesterday about things I don’t think I could write even here?

Well I’m going to.

And it’s going to hook into Kobach.

Being away from the whole grind and all the negativity for a month allowed me really to clear my brain and reset my mentality, (and also actually enjoy our honeymoon), and in the process, I’ve had to come to some hard cold harsh realities and conclusions.

I think the two American geographical points that are instructive about everything that has transpired since May 24 and illustrative of what I now think is the irredeemability of the United States of America as currently constituted for the purposes of white interests can be summed up in two places — No, not Seattle and Portland. The correct answers are Mississippi and Alabama.

We’re told that, provincially speaking, the most right wing whites in America are the whites of those two states. Yet, since May 24, both have taken actions to where these “the most right wing people in America” have chosen football over taking their own side and their own heritage; In Mississippi, it was the state flag changing, and in Alabama, it was the Tuberville-Sessions runoff.

So you can probably understand my newfound fatalism here — If the A-Team forfeits, then it’s hopeless. (Either that, or the rightism of MS/AL whites was overrated all along, but that’s another discussion for another time.)

That’s why what happened re Kobach yesterday doesn’t move my needle anymore. I doubt he’d answer my call, because he probably doesn’t even remember me anymore, and such as it is, we only talked once, and that was eight years ago. But I’ll just give him this public advice: Go back to teaching law school, make your racks and stacks and sacks and bags, get what blood you can out of the dying empire while the gettin’s there to get, and enjoy life as much as you can. Just don’t think you’re going to save Amurrika.

5 08 2020
Hard Right

Don’t know why you didn’t want to write that. Most of us know the Republic is doomed.

5 08 2020
countenance

But way, they say, it gets worse.

It’s the “gets worse” part that scares me. I’ll drop the hint that now coming up on two years of being away and gone (and most likely for good) has been really instructive. It’s as if it’s impossible for you truly to see yourself until you transvert your whole soul and being into someone else’s body and then use it to look back at yourself.

6 08 2020
Hard Right

7 08 2020
dk

As always, your takes are always helpful in understanding what’s going on. thanks BLogmeister

8 08 2020
Hard Right

Twatter censoring tweets containing links to BitChute video service, flags posts as ‘potentially harmful’

https://www.rt.com/usa/497401-bitchute-twitter-ban/

Video hosting service BitChute has accused Twatter of censoring tweets including links to their platform, and numerous users have experienced the apparent ban, though the social media app has yet to officially respond.

8 08 2020
Hard Right

Hackers Flood Plebbit With Pro-Trump Takeovers

https://www.wired.com/story/pro-trump-hackers-flood-reddit-maga-takeovers/

In what appears to be a massive coordinated strike against Plebbit, hackers took over dozens of pages on Friday afternoon, using their access to plaster pro-Donald Trump imagery across subplebbits with huge followings.

9 08 2020
Alex the Goon

KKKancel Kulture swings its BDE at AuntQueefa; slaps her right in the face.
https://www.redstate.com/sister-toldjah/2020/08/08/antifa-t-shirts/

10 08 2020
countenance

The first embedded Tweet shows this T-shirt image:

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Ee1cr2-XsAchvQX?format=jpg&name=small

It’s the Iron Front inside the Antifa flags logo.

The historical irony of that.

I’ll wait to see if someone gets it.

10 08 2020
Alex the Goon

Wankipedia says Iron Front had a Sturmabteilung wing for opposing nayzees, and an Antifaschistexpialidocious Aktion wing for opposing kommies.
The 3 downward arrows is kind of a “3 flaccid dongs” symbology, so that part is unironic.

13 08 2020
countenance

Iron Front was the symbol of street militant Social Democrats. They and Antifa (and its pre-Antifa progenitors) fought each other during the late Weimar and early Nazi period. Which means that modern day Antifa has taken on the symbol of what was its mortal enemy.

The three southwesterly pointing arrows in the Iron Front represents stabbing the three political enemies of Social Democrats at the time: Nazis, Neo-Monarchists, and Communists.

12 08 2020
13 08 2020
countenance

Only three times has the suspect in the rape of a very elderly women not been black, as far as I’ve seen.

12 08 2020
Hard Right

LMAO

13 08 2020
Hard Right

No wonder National Review wanted her instead of Trump.

It's your dime, spill it. And also...NO TROLLS ALLOWED~!

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