Census Shenanigans

30 10 2015

Washington, D.C.

This is big. Really big.

While Census doesn’t do the unemployment, we’ve always had the sneaking feeling that there has been some methodological funny business to help Obama.

What we do know here is that the American Community Survey is questionable, and as we can read, that helps determine how and where the Feds spend money on local governments.  The motive there is obvious:  The Obama White House wants to shovel more money to big cities.

More disturbingly than that, this calls the National Crime Victimization Survey into question.  That’s important, because the NCVS is how the DOJ compares the demographics of law enforcement arrests and accosts, and the crime that is actually happening on the ground per NCVS reports.  If there is a statistically significant disparity between LEA and NCVS, it means there must be some sort of law enforcement bias or some other problem.  Invariably, there never is.  But…if the Obama White House is fooling around with the NCVS, then it means they’re trying to goose it into showing a disparate result, because they’re looking to wage a jihad against cops.

There’s another thing to worry about.  While this didn’t mention or even allude to what I’m about to say, if Census is jiggering with ACS and NCVS, then I think it’s very possible that they’re also fooling around with the Voting Hot Report, their biannual report released the late spring or summer after either a Presidential election or a midterm election, to show the racial composition of who voted.  The May 2013 report is what deflated the ZOMG GREAT HISPANIC VOTER TIDAL WAVE LOL~!!!!!1 bubble, to show that Hispanics turnout wasn’t as high as first thought, and middle aged and elderly black women turnout was record-breaking, in 2012.  Likewise, after 2014, I was thinking that black and Hispanic turnout was down compared to the previous midterm cycle, 2010, because of how easily some of these supposedly razor-edge races went Republican; Steve Sailer thought that it was a result of enough white people lying to pre-election opinion pollsters about their real intention to vote Republican — As the VHR showed, Sailer was right, and I was wrong.  Too, what demonstrated the accuracy of the 2014 VHR is that the race based two-party exit polling data from CNN multiplied by the race demographics of 2014 voters per the VHR yields precisely the generic national percent of the vote for Republican Congressional candidates.

But, could it be possible that the Obama White House is forcing Census to mess around with the VHR methodology to fluff up the Hispanic percentage by a point or two or three?

River of Schemes

30 10 2015

Washington, D.C.

Nothing good happens on Capitol Hill after midnight.

Article 1, Section 2, Clause 5

26 10 2015

Washington, D.C.

It starts with this phrase:

“The House of Representatives shall choose their speaker, the member from among them who is best able to raise money…”

Oh wait, it doesn’t?

Until now, and contra the conventional wisdom, I never bought that Boehner stepped down because of any conservative or TPM pressure, (prima facie evidence of that is that the same forces who are said forced him out are seemingly unable to resist the Paul Ryan juggernaut), the real reason is that he’s already 65 and wants to be able to run through the revolving door and cash in/cash out while he’s got some years left.  I now also think that he wants to play a lot more golf.  In about 15 months, Baraq Obama will be joining him.

Another Problem for the Metooers

18 08 2015

Me, two days ago:

If they match him word for word, it’s going to seem like copying and bandwagonning, and anyone else who puts him or her self at par with Trump on policy details will mean that Trump wins because of Trump’s alpha male personality, whoever is at eye level with him on detail is going to seem like a dwarf on personality.

Here’s another problem for the metooers:  They’ll run afoul of their donors.

Fethullah Gulen, Be Very Worried

7 06 2015

Washington, D.C.

P-D profiles how Dick Gephardt has gone through the revolving door.  The main focus is how Gephardt, who once felt moral passion about branding the Armenian genocide as such, is now a paid lobbyist for the Turkish government and gums up the works to prevent that.

This might amaze the P-D, but it wouldn’t be the first time that Gephardt has changed positions.  When he first ran for Congress in 1976, he was anti-busing, proudly had photos taken of himself with Confederate Battle Flags in the background, and proudly attended the picnic of the St. Louis chapters of the Citizens’ Councils of America.  By 1989, when he became House Majority Leader, second in command of the House Democrat caucus, all that went out the window.

Back to the present day, if I was Fethullah Gulen, I’d be worried.  Tayyip Erdogan, Turkey’s current President and a mutual nemesis of Gulen, just saw his party lose their parliamentary majority.  Ergodan might be pissed off enough such that he dumps a bunch of money on Gephardt who then starts whispering in Obama’s ear, who will then concoct some legal rationale to send the FBI into Saylorsburg, Pennsylvania to arrest Gulen and ship him back to Turkey for torture trial.

BTW, who else thinks that Gulen deliberately chose a town named Saylorsburg in which to hide just to troll Steve Sailer?

Hooray, Or Something Like That

27 04 2015



Jeb Bush tells his donors they’ve helped make history

Jeb Bush told about 350 of the top donors to his super PAC on Sunday evening that the organization has raised more money in its first 100 days than any other Republican operation in modern history, according to several people in attendance.

Yes, they have helped “make history.”  They’ve helped make quality governance a thing of the past.

But you’ll be glad to know that even Jeb Bush and his Stupor PAC has its limits:

The former Florida governor has spent the past several months on a nonstop fundraising blitz, headlining high-priced finance events at country clubs and resorts nationwide. Money has come in at such a rapid clip that his aides temporarily limited donations to $1 million.

Anything more than $1,000,000 might lend the suggestion of bribery, after all.

Bush aides said that about 350 people signed up to attend the donor conference. Among the people spotted at the hotel were … (snip) … Miami-based lobbyist Al Cardenas and his son, David Cardenas… (snip)

Al Cardenas ran the American Conservative Union until not long after 2014’s CPAC, and of course the ACU puts on CPAC. Now you know why CPAC was such a turkey in the last handful number of years, and why this year’s version was slightly better.

Now I’m starting to think that Jeb Bush won’t miss Sheldon Adelson’s money, which is going to that other Miami-based Presidential candidate.

Blogmeister Echo Syndrome

21 04 2015

Washington, D.C.

Me, on March 17:

The insurance industry will make sure all the Republican politicians they bought and paid for restores the Federal subsidies if SCOTUS does the “wrong” (i.e. right) thing.  Congress will do it so quickly that they’ll beat Planck Time.

Well well.


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