Strike While the Iron Is Hot

15 05 2018

Jefferson City

My mind is mashing up this story and the news from yesterday about sports gambling.

I now think that this only makes the matter of tossing Eric Greitens out of the Mansion bag and baggage even more imperative.  Add to that, if Mike Parson gets to appoint the next Lieutenant Governor when he becomes Governor, he’ll have one name in mind:  Josh Hawley.

Because both Greitens, as chief executive of state government, and Hawley, as chief prosecutor for state government, have openly promised to drain the Jefferson City swamp.  But who wants that, when casinos and big time sports leagues are about to make it rain on most state capitals?  All that money would pay for a lot of parties.  Way bigger and better than when I was in that line of work.

Which means all that needs to be done is to get Greitens out of town and Hawley in a job where he can’t prosecute anyone, and Parson would probably appoint a party establishmentarian similar to himself as AG, and nobody in that town will need to worry about any ole big bad monsters and their felony corruption indictments.





Claire’s Sniffing Around

14 02 2018

Washington, D.C.;  Jefferson City;  Kirkwood

Claire calls out the pharma lobby for the opiate crisis.

She is getting this close to calling out the Sassoon family.  May we expect her next report to be such where those who keyboard in the words will have to use Shift+9 and Shift+0 on occasion?

While we in the Alt-Right are certainly not hesitant to do that, and especially not hesitant because of the parenthetical angle, we know that we can’t pawn all the blame off on the pharmas and their lobbying arms. We also realize that societal systemic and structural hatred towards working class whites is a yuge driver.





Revenge of the Swamp

18 07 2017

Washington, D.C.

I can’t believe I’m quoting Ben Shapiro, but:

All that happened here is that the insurance lobby, which is pretty friendly with the red team, went to work and made sure that the replacement legislation kept most of the ObamaDontCare elements that are insurance industry friendly.  This caused enough Senate Republican defections, and there only needed to be three, to kill the whole thing.





Not Everyone, Dear

28 01 2017

Chicago

Blago’s 20-year old daughter takes it to the ex-hopeychanger on Faceberg.

She said that “Everyone seems to be mourning your exit from office.”

Not everyone, dear.

And the reason why he didn’t spring your father from the can early is because his pay-for-play corruption upended and embarrassed Obama in the transition period between his first election and his inauguration.  More people than otherwise were or would have were starting to side eye Obama because of what someone else out of the Chicago stable did.





As the Twenty Second Toast Burns

15 12 2016

Downtown

In that which they state what everyone knows.

Their tack is a little bit different — They’re using it to lobby for more state legislative-based tort reform.

Don’t be so sure that Eric Greitens would sign it.  If he gets the notion that outside monied interests are working their magic in what is now a dying line of work in Jefferson City, if such a bill gets to his desk, he just might veto it.

If I was advising these forces, I’d have them instead push for a city-county merger but do it in such a way that their fingerprints stay off the gun.  It’s like I said, we’ll know if the merger possibility gets serious or is perceived to be serious when the other side of this coin, the trial lawyer lobby, starts in in the stuck pig squealing.  The merger would end the 22nd circuit, and the trial lawyer lobby wants it to remain for the same reason why the insurance lobby is going to pressure state government to crack down on it.





Beautifully Played

27 11 2016

Manhattan

He didn’t want to do it.

Because doing it himself would have come off as political.

It’s the next best thing to doing it himself without actually doing it himself. And you know the other countries will go along, because they’re mad that they bribed the Crime Family Foundation to influence the future President Rodham, and as it turns out, there will be no President Rodham. You think they have some sort of financial incentive to whack back out of revenge?

All of the finished product, none of the mud on his hands.

Beautifully played, orange-crowned god-emperor.

Remember, this is someone whose $10 billion personal fortune is based on the most maddening labyrinth around, Manhattan real estate.





Tomorrow’s News Today

22 11 2016

Manhattan

“No prosecution of Hillary Clinton”

Be honest with yourself.  Did you actually think there would be a criminal prosecution?  Yes, even you there in the back — If you dig deep down, even you know it was never going to happen.

I’ve read on Gab the theory that Trump still intends to, but he has to softpedal in order not to give Obama the idea to pardon her before he leaves.  The problem is that I don’t think Trump ever needed to say anything about prosecuting her or not in order to give Obama that idea.

No, what’s going on here is that prosecuting former Presidents is informally too much.

Here’s what I think very well could happen:

Some time after January 20, Attorney General Jeff Sessions (a phrase I first used in this blog just after last Christmas) will file a Federal civil lawsuit against Bill and Hillary Clinton and maybe also Chelsea over some such this that or the third or the other relating to something they did.  Trump and Sessions will hold that lawsuit as a Damoclean sword over their heads until they sign some sort of formal legal document stating everything naughty they ever did starting from when they were in the third grade.  Then force them to hand over the keys to the Crime Family Foundation, forfeit all assets therein and most of everything else they won, and make them sign a consent decree heavily restricting the money making activities beyond Bill’s public service pensions (Presidency, Arkansas Governor if applicable), Hillary’s public service pensions (U.S. Senate, Secretary of State if applicable), and then they’ll disappear forever and live out the rest of their years in obscurity.

Basically what Trump/Sessions would be doing in that case, if they do that, is putting an asterisk next to the Clintons’ names in the history books.





Why I’m #NRx

31 10 2016

Boston

At least one law firm that specializes in class action is laundering (probably) illegal political campaign contributions through employee bonuses.

It’s not the only example, law firms aren’t the only sort that do it, and it happens in both parties.  Don’t doubt me.

In the matter of the politics of this story, the trial lawyers and insurance are firing money canons at each other across the battlefields of electoral and governing politics.

Remember yesterday’s wrap-up?  I reiterated and linked back to my contention that one way we’ll be able to tell if city-county reunification is perceived to have a serious chance to occur is if and when the trial lawyer lobby starts firing its money canons at the process.  The 22nd Circuit with its “stick it to da man” jurors is a national honeypot for trial lawyers.  City-county reunification would mean subsuming the 22nd into St. Louis County, meaning city-county has a single judicial circuit, and civil suits filed in that potential circuit, and I’m presuming the seat for the reunified county would be in Clayton and not Downtown, would have prospective jurors from anywhere in the combined geography of the city and county.  Which means the jury pools for civil trials in this hypothetical combined circuit would be nowhere as plaintiff-friendly as 22nd Circuit juries are and have been.





We Sure Showed Him

19 10 2016

Richmond, Virginia

cantor

Even when we win, we lose.

Though the good news, at least good to the sadist in me, is that even without the world becoming fully Pepefied any time soon, the Stupid Party is killing the golden egg laying goose of the revolving door just as a function of its own stupidity. Me, eight days ago:

The Republican lamestream is contradictorily trying to save its own Congressional power and making its own Congressional power a dead letter. Since the purpose of the revolving door is for interested corporations and special interests to influence the Federal government’s actions, yet Congress’s sway over the Federal government’s actions is declining as the years roll on, then why should corporations and special interests waste money giving former Congressmen seven-figure salary lobbying jobs?

***





Reality Is Miles Ahead of Perception (Tales of the Golden Geese)

11 10 2016

Indianapolis

Hold on to your hats, because I’m about to prove why my biggest fan, Nicholas Stix, calls me the country’s greatest living political scientist that nobody knows about.  Of course, I think I’ve already done that once today.

By itself, it’s a meh story and a broken record story.

But I think it’s more interesting and relevant in light of the events since Friday.

One of the reasons why the #NeverTrump gang is trying to build a Berlin Wall between Trump and MUH DOWNBALLOT is because they think they need to do so in order save the House and especially the Senate for the red team, save individual Republican Congressional candidates in particular, and save their precious Congressional power.

In contrast, I’ve been writing in this space for more than a year that Trump himself has no coattails, that he’s energizing a constituency of either new voters or people like me who had mentally checked out of voting (at least for named individuals), neither group cares (or cares anymore) about downballot Republicans.  This is something that the Stupid Party doesn’t realize because they are that stupid or they can’t see from inside their bubble.

However, it means that they think they need to save their Congressional power so that they can keep on accumulating it in order to be able to cash in on it at a later date after they no longer have formal governing power.  The good ole revolving door.

Here’s where these people are killing the goose that lays the golden eggs.

Notice that twice so far in this post, I wrote the phrase “Congressional power.”  That begs the obvious question:  What Congressional power?  A combination of Stupid Party insouciance, fear and compliance since January 4, 2011 has meant that Congress is (hold your thumbnail and your index fingernail a millimeter apart) this close to being a dead letter institution.  And the disparate impact of the actions of the #NeverTrump/MUH DOWNBALLOT gang is to install as the 45th President someone who not only lauds her former boss for his dictatorial accumulation of power, but says that he isn’t going far enough and that she would go even further.  (Just between you, me and the gatepost, Trump would do the same thing, but that actually proves my point.)

To bring us full circle, I need you to read and understand my theory of about two years ago about one of the real under-the-table for political professionals’ eyes only reasons why the Republican establishment hates the Tea Party Movement.  Then come back.

Good, you’re back.  I didn’t bore you to death.

Let’s roll this all together.

Killing the goose that lays the golden eggs.

The Republican lamestream is contradictorily trying to save its own Congressional power and making its own Congressional power a dead letter.    Since the purpose of the revolving door is for interested corporations and special interests to influence the Federal government’s actions, yet Congress’s sway over the Federal government’s actions is declining as the years roll on, then why should corporations and special interests waste money giving former Congressmen seven-figure salary lobbying jobs?

The reason it’ll keep on happening longer than necessary is that in politics, and a lot of life, reality is miles ahead of perception, and also the concept of institutional inertia.  If any lamestream Republicans have figured out what I have, then maybe they’ve figured that they can grift off the system during the time lag.  Catch while catch can.

When perception finally catches up, then corporate and special interest money will be all in and all out on Presidential politics exclusively.





Rerun Season

7 10 2016

Westover, Maryland

Shades of the Baltimore City Jail scandal, and it’s in the same state.  Baltimore Sun, Daily Beast.

Since these are Federal indictments, and the Feds rarely release mug shots, it’s not photographically obvious.  But if you just read the text, and read between the lines, it’s easy to see that this is like the Baltimore City Jail scandal in another way:  Black women guards birddogging for black men inmates.  As our very own Puggg explained to us when the City Jail scandal broke, while the ideal is to have men be the jail and prison guards in men’s jails and prisons, public agencies also want to engage in affirmative action.  So if they had their way, the guards would all be black men.  But way too many black men have felony records that preclude them getting law enforcement type jobs.  And hiring white men is out of the question.  Therefore, their only option is black women.

From there, the only open question is whether the black women guards are relatively innocent victims of the black men inmates’ clever seduction techniques, or whether they were willing and complicit participants all along, as many of them are loosely if not more strongly associated with a street gang because they already have men relatives who are part of a given gang, and the women themselves have a thirst for thug dick, which, in a prison, is a good place to find some.  After a few years of watching Tommy Sotomayor videos, my mindset on that open question has transitioned from the former theory to the latter.

 





Raffle Tickets

4 10 2016

Washington, D.C.

master-spreadsheet-pac-contributions

Guccifer 2.0 goodies.

The politicians who control how a $4 trillion government spends its money are themselves pretty cheap, but the rewards are cornucopious. It’s like a dollar raffle ticket that has 50/50 odds to win one of the glamour prizes.

As I can attest, the politicians that control how a $27 billion government spends its money are even cheaper, but the loot is far less lucrative.





Implicitly Pleading the Fifth

24 09 2016

Washington, D.C.

Now we know why Obama didn’t indict Hillary.

Because his doing so would have been effectively indicting himself.

This is sorta why Cheryl Mills got immunity in an investigation whose outcome was pre-determined.





Blago-Lynch

6 07 2016

Washington, D.C.

Rod Blagojevich is in Federal prison for stating that he wanted to exchange the appointment of the Senate seat that Baraq Obama vacated upon being elected President for consideration.

How is that any different from HRC promising Loretta Lynch either that she would stay on as USAG or a SCOTUS appointment in exchange for an assurance of non-indictment?





Why I’m #NRx

5 07 2016

Washington, D.C.

hrc-clear

Democratic republicanism instead of hereditary monarchy, because rule of law, not rule of men, they keep telling us.

We got democratic republicanism and rule of men anyway.  Stupid they.

Further proving my point is that this whole scandal is about the Clintons peddling the influence of a possible HRC presidency in exchange for swag bags from interested parties.  This is yet another bad consequence of the existence of elections.

The only bright spot is that Comey’s announcement of a no indict recommendation sounded more like listing the grounds for Trump’s Attorney General to issue an indictment.

Also, I don’t understand how HRC doesn’t get indicted yet Edward Snowden has standing felony charges against him.  Unless I do understand, which goes back to the point of this post.





I Wonder What Bill de Blasio Did to Piss Baraq Obama Off

20 06 2016

New York

Feds inching closer and closer to him.  That circle is getting tighter and tighter.

There’s also a cautionary tale that 2A activists will be interested in.





Miss Weavie

9 05 2016

Flint, Michigan

weaver

She avoided her fair share of the responsibility for the Flint water crisis, as most everyone was screaming Rick Snyder Rick Snyder Rick Snyder.  Largely I think as a diversion to keep the blame off her.  You get one guess why.

Anyway, she’s not letting a good crisis go to waste.





Census Shenanigans

30 10 2015

Washington, D.C.

This is big. Really big.

While Census doesn’t do the unemployment, we’ve always had the sneaking feeling that there has been some methodological funny business to help Obama.

What we do know here is that the American Community Survey is questionable, and as we can read, that helps determine how and where the Feds spend money on local governments.  The motive there is obvious:  The Obama White House wants to shovel more money to big cities.

More disturbingly than that, this calls the National Crime Victimization Survey into question.  That’s important, because the NCVS is how the DOJ compares the demographics of law enforcement arrests and accosts, and the crime that is actually happening on the ground per NCVS reports.  If there is a statistically significant disparity between LEA and NCVS, it means there must be some sort of law enforcement bias or some other problem.  Invariably, there never is.  But…if the Obama White House is fooling around with the NCVS, then it means they’re trying to goose it into showing a disparate result, because they’re looking to wage a jihad against cops.

There’s another thing to worry about.  While this didn’t mention or even allude to what I’m about to say, if Census is jiggering with ACS and NCVS, then I think it’s very possible that they’re also fooling around with the Voting Hot Report, their biannual report released the late spring or summer after either a Presidential election or a midterm election, to show the racial composition of who voted.  The May 2013 report is what deflated the ZOMG GREAT HISPANIC VOTER TIDAL WAVE LOL~!!!!!1 bubble, to show that Hispanics turnout wasn’t as high as first thought, and middle aged and elderly black women turnout was record-breaking, in 2012.  Likewise, after 2014, I was thinking that black and Hispanic turnout was down compared to the previous midterm cycle, 2010, because of how easily some of these supposedly razor-edge races went Republican; Steve Sailer thought that it was a result of enough white people lying to pre-election opinion pollsters about their real intention to vote Republican — As the VHR showed, Sailer was right, and I was wrong.  Too, what demonstrated the accuracy of the 2014 VHR is that the race based two-party exit polling data from CNN multiplied by the race demographics of 2014 voters per the VHR yields precisely the generic national percent of the vote for Republican Congressional candidates.

But, could it be possible that the Obama White House is forcing Census to mess around with the VHR methodology to fluff up the Hispanic percentage by a point or two or three?





River of Schemes

30 10 2015

Washington, D.C.

Nothing good happens on Capitol Hill after midnight.





Article 1, Section 2, Clause 5

26 10 2015

Washington, D.C.

It starts with this phrase:

“The House of Representatives shall choose their speaker, the member from among them who is best able to raise money…”

Oh wait, it doesn’t?

Until now, and contra the conventional wisdom, I never bought that Boehner stepped down because of any conservative or TPM pressure, (prima facie evidence of that is that the same forces who are said forced him out are seemingly unable to resist the Paul Ryan juggernaut), the real reason is that he’s already 65 and wants to be able to run through the revolving door and cash in/cash out while he’s got some years left.  I now also think that he wants to play a lot more golf.  In about 15 months, Baraq Obama will be joining him.





Another Problem for the Metooers

18 08 2015

Me, two days ago:

If they match him word for word, it’s going to seem like copying and bandwagonning, and anyone else who puts him or her self at par with Trump on policy details will mean that Trump wins because of Trump’s alpha male personality, whoever is at eye level with him on detail is going to seem like a dwarf on personality.

Here’s another problem for the metooers:  They’ll run afoul of their donors.





Fethullah Gulen, Be Very Worried

7 06 2015

Washington, D.C.

P-D profiles how Dick Gephardt has gone through the revolving door.  The main focus is how Gephardt, who once felt moral passion about branding the Armenian genocide as such, is now a paid lobbyist for the Turkish government and gums up the works to prevent that.

This might amaze the P-D, but it wouldn’t be the first time that Gephardt has changed positions.  When he first ran for Congress in 1976, he was anti-busing, proudly had photos taken of himself with Confederate Battle Flags in the background, and proudly attended the picnic of the St. Louis chapters of the Citizens’ Councils of America.  By 1989, when he became House Majority Leader, second in command of the House Democrat caucus, all that went out the window.

Back to the present day, if I was Fethullah Gulen, I’d be worried.  Tayyip Erdogan, Turkey’s current President and a mutual nemesis of Gulen, just saw his party lose their parliamentary majority.  Ergodan might be pissed off enough such that he dumps a bunch of money on Gephardt who then starts whispering in Obama’s ear, who will then concoct some legal rationale to send the FBI into Saylorsburg, Pennsylvania to arrest Gulen and ship him back to Turkey for torture trial.

BTW, who else thinks that Gulen deliberately chose a town named Saylorsburg in which to hide just to troll Steve Sailer?





Hooray, Or Something Like That

27 04 2015

Miami

WaPo:

Jeb Bush tells his donors they’ve helped make history

Jeb Bush told about 350 of the top donors to his super PAC on Sunday evening that the organization has raised more money in its first 100 days than any other Republican operation in modern history, according to several people in attendance.

Yes, they have helped “make history.”  They’ve helped make quality governance a thing of the past.

But you’ll be glad to know that even Jeb Bush and his Stupor PAC has its limits:

The former Florida governor has spent the past several months on a nonstop fundraising blitz, headlining high-priced finance events at country clubs and resorts nationwide. Money has come in at such a rapid clip that his aides temporarily limited donations to $1 million.

Anything more than $1,000,000 might lend the suggestion of bribery, after all.

Bush aides said that about 350 people signed up to attend the donor conference. Among the people spotted at the hotel were … (snip) … Miami-based lobbyist Al Cardenas and his son, David Cardenas… (snip)

Al Cardenas ran the American Conservative Union until not long after 2014’s CPAC, and of course the ACU puts on CPAC. Now you know why CPAC was such a turkey in the last handful number of years, and why this year’s version was slightly better.

Now I’m starting to think that Jeb Bush won’t miss Sheldon Adelson’s money, which is going to that other Miami-based Presidential candidate.





Blogmeister Echo Syndrome

21 04 2015

Washington, D.C.

Me, on March 17:

The insurance industry will make sure all the Republican politicians they bought and paid for restores the Federal subsidies if SCOTUS does the “wrong” (i.e. right) thing.  Congress will do it so quickly that they’ll beat Planck Time.

Well well.





By Any Other Name

15 04 2015

Richmond, Virginia

Okaybut…

The way around this has already been perfected. Lobbyists just won’t call themselves “lobbyists.” They’ll call themselves “consultants” or some such. Remember, Eric Cantor became a lobbyist right away in spite of the one year cooling off rule for former House members because his job isn’t called lobbying.





Citizen United

14 04 2015

Monticello, Iowa

***

huffpohrc

***

2012spend

***

The question above of why HRC needs $2.5 billion or even $2.5 thousand is a very good one.  First off, she already has the media on her side, NBC most of all, because they hired Chelsea Clinton in order to buy access to Hillary Clinton, and even though the younger Miss Clinton didn’t last long at NBC, Comcast is going to have to protect their investment by making sure HRC wins.  And by eschewing all that money, HRC can lead by example, or at least put on a front like she is.





A Three Piece Puzzle

4 03 2015

Washington, D.C.

Two pieces of the puzzle in King v Burwell, whose SCOTUS BJs have just started.

Louisiana Gov. Piyush Jindal, writing in NR:

And here’s where some on the right want to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. Conventional wisdom in Washington has assumed that, should the Court strike down the subsidies in 37 states under King, states will immediately act to establish their own state-run exchanges — allowing the subsidies to flow once more. Alternatively, Congress might be tempted to pass language extending the subsidies to the federally-run exchange, allowing Obamacare to comply with the Court ruling. That’s a “solution” in search of a problem. If eliminating the subsidies represents a net tax cut, then restoring the subsidies — whether by states creating their own exchanges, Congress passing new legislation, or some combination of the two — would re-impose a sizable tax increase. Americans would pay billions more in higher taxes to fund the newly restored subsidies, making Obamacare that much more entrenched. What self-proclaimed conservative of sound mind would do such a thing? Alternatively, some have talked about enacting a “compromise” that would restore the Obamacare subsidies while reforming some of the law’s new insurance requirements and regulations. But restoring the flow of subsidies means restoring the employer mandate, thus raising taxes. And even if such a “compromise” weakens or eliminates the employer mandate, the Obama administration — to say nothing of the insurance companies themselves — will hardly countenance a repeal of the individual mandate, which restoring the subsidies will only strengthen. So those seeking to restore the flow of subsidies will likely end up having to raise taxes on millions of Americans, in some way, shape, or form.

The emphasis of one given word in this quote is my own addition.

Betsey McCaughey, in the NYP:

Insurance companies will be the biggest losers

Their stock prices have soared since the healthcare.gov rollout — Humana up 66 percent; Cigna, 53 percent; Aetna, 52 percent. No wonder: ObamaCare forces the public to buy their policies.

It’s like a law requiring all Americans to buy cars, subsidizing those who can’t pay. That would send automaker stocks skyrocketing, too.

Insurers are expected to haul in over a trillion dollars of taxpayer money over the next decade. No wonder they’re bombarding the Supremes with arguments defending their cozy deal.

The third piece of the puzzle?  Look at the campaign finance reports of a lot of Republicans, and you’re going to find a whole lot of insurance PACs, 527s, if not semi-directly, then funneled through one or two intermediaries.

It’s why the Republican Party in current form is never going to make a serious run at repeal.  At “best,” they’ll just nibble around some of the worst edges.





Ticket to Ride

11 02 2015

Manhattan

original

$100,000 income puts a household at the 77.5 percentile.

 





2015: A Border Odyssey

16 11 2014

Kentucky

Breitbart:

Exclusive: GOP Rep. Hal Rogers’ Campaign Donor Stands to Profit from Executive Amnesty

A defense contractor and top campaign contributor to House Appropriations Committee chairman Rep. Hal Rogers (R-KY) is in the running to get a contract to print millions of IDs and other government documents associated with the president’s planned executive amnesty, Breitbart News has learned exclusively.

That’s all you need to know.

And why is HAL crucially important here?

Easy.  He runs House Budget, and he’s trying to use his power to get the House to pass a budget that lasts through the end of FY 15, not just a short CR to last until early January when the next Congress starts.  Passing a longer budget now means that the new Congress wouldn’t be able to play appropriations hardball with Obama over EO amnesty, at least not until October 1, 2015, at which point the other side hopes that everyone will have forgotten all about the immigration issue.  That would be fine with HAL, for very practical reasons we now know.





NYT Lobs a Bomb on Chris Koster’s Campaign for Governor

30 10 2014

Jefferson City

Read all about it.

I would be cheering, except that, barring a miracle, the Republicans will be nominating Peter Kindercare.