Soil > DNA

5 04 2018

Jefferson City

This new website has as its purpose:

exploreMOhealth was created in partnership between Missouri Foundation for Health and the MHA Health Institute, the not-for-profit corporation affiliated with the Missouri Hospital Association. By combining their resources they have created one of the most unique health-related datasets in the country. Data is the key to diagnosing and addressing some of our region’s most pressing health issues, and by making this information available to the public, both organizations are furthering their missions to improve health and the health care system.

This may or may not be that relevant, but all three named institutions therein advocate Medicaid expansion.

Anyway, this is part of what this new website say about St. Louis City (click to enlarge):

Note that the top is the city’s best zip codes, the bottom is the city’s worst. In spite of that, “top health factor” and “top social factor” denotes what the authors of this database consider the biggest health and social problem within the given zip code, even if they aren’t as big a problem in that zip code as they are in others. For instance, in the context of the city, 63109 (southwest city), the city’s best, is said to have STDs as its top health problem and percent unmarried as its top social problem. Even though the STD infection rate in 63109 is way lower than it is in the five worst city zip codes, and the marriage rate is higher.  While the STD rate is higher and marriage rate lower in 63113, the city’s worst zip code, than it is in 63109, the authors think that STDs and marriage aren’t the worst individual problems in 63113.

I’m also curious that these authors, whose politics at the very least lean to the left, consider renting and being unmarried to be socially undesirable.  Red pilled folk know that generally speaking, that home ownership is the province of sociologically better people compared to renting, because people who can buy generally have better credit scores (which is how they can get the mortgage) and have higher future time orientation (which is generally why they have better credit scores), which is a good thing for those we expect to maintain a residential dwelling in order to live there for an extended length of time.  Marriage?  Well, that’s cisheteronormative and indicative of the patriarchy of toxic masculinity, besides, evil white married men brainwash the white women they’re married to to vote for Trump.

It’s just that what we know is verboten hatethink in social justice wackoville.  Meaning that SJWs are probably going to launch a social justice jihad against the authors of this research.

Meanwhile, in the “About” section of that page:

Some experts suggest that a person’s ZIP Code is more predictive of their health than their genetic code. Having detailed, local information on health factors and health outcomes in the places where Missourians live can help community health leaders take action to help create and sustain a healthy Missouri.

Do you know what that means? Soil is more important than DNA. Which means Watson and Crick might as well have not even bothered.  It all comes down to magic dirt and tragic dirt.

I guess it’s going to take me and my dump truck full of red pills to suggest that zip codes don’t make people, people make zip codes.

Furthermore, it might be worthy to mash up this data with Charles Murray’s Super Zip data (see here and here) — I tend to think there will be a very high correlation between the ordinality of Missouri’s zip codes’ health and social rankings and their Murray scores.  For instance, realizing Sailer’s advice to look at the extremes of big data sets to ferret out patterns and conclusions, I applied that to this research, and found that the top health outcome zip code in the state, 63105 (Chesterfield west), also has the highest possible Murray score of 99.  The worst health outcome zip code in the state is 64101 (Kansas City, west bottoms), but it’s not really a residential area, and therefore does not have a Murray score at all.  But the second worst health outcome zip code in the state is 64128 (Kansas City, Palestine East neighborhood), and it is a residential area, and has the lowest possible Murray score of 1.  Which comes as quite a shock, unless it doesn’t.  In between these extremes, I’m guessing the negative correlation will be at or greater than r=0.8, negative because plotting county health ordinality on the X axis from 1 to 958 and each county’s Murray score on the Y axis will show a downward slope, and pretty close to a downward line I think.

Backing up for a minute:

Data is the key to diagnosing and addressing some of our region’s most pressing health issues…

I have found that data are only as good as the political biases of those analyzing them.  To wit:  Official Missouri, armed with all this data, thinks that it’s all due to the kind of dirt in a given zip code.  It takes an unknown local snarky blogger to tell the truth.  Chetty Chetty Bang Bang has access to a personal data trove that would make Mark Zuckerberg blush, and all he’s really doing with it is goosing it to manufacture a conclusion that he knows the domestic deep state wants to hear, which is that shoveling the black and brown, esp. black, undertows, out of cities, and into suburbs, is a silver bullet.  It takes our sector’s premiere dataheads to ferret out the really interesting and relevant and crucial findings and interpretation from the Chetty spreadsheets.

This also points to another Sailer contention, that our society’s data nerds will sperg the fuck out on sports data because it’s politically safe, in contrast to the much more crucial societal needs of health care and violent crime, where the data nerds would be of great help, because people are deferential to the education credentials of physicians, and scared of realizing politically incorrect conclusions, respectively.  In the case of this data set, it took the involvement of the non-profit and lobbying appendages of the state’s health care industry, in concert with Mizzou’s professional data nerds, to make this happen.


Whisper Reprise

26 03 2018


Tony Messenger’s latest.

While it’s not anything that special or noxious, it did make me think of perhaps a rhetorical question:

Does Tony Messenger think that Kim Gardner is engaged in an anti-Semitic whisper campaign?

After all, what else could someone engaged in a felony prosecution trial against a Jewish politician be doing?

You’ll only get the gag if you’ve been reading this space since the start of 2015.

Dispatches from the Old Salt Mines

15 03 2018

Jefferson City

You know, they’re right — The threat of brain injury due to repeated blows to the head totally ends when you turn eighteen.

Of course, your Blogmeister, suffering brain damage because of one very serious blow to the head he took at the age of 40, might look at this with incredulity.  But, then again, I’m brain damaged, so my ability to reason is a wee bit off kilter.


5 03 2018

Los Angeles

AMPAS passes Missouri geography by not giving Best Picture to a movie with the name of a non-existent town in Missouri in its title.

Even though if you’re so interested, real world Missouri place names are a good lesson in national and international geography, but a bad one in pronunciation and sometimes also in spelling.

Just a few examples:

Nevada (central to Harry Truman’s life) is pronounced such that the first “a” is long instead of short.

Hayti, a misspelled variant of “Haiti,” is not pronounced like the country, but like it is misspelled:  HATE-eye.

Versailles is in the French regal sense pronounced Vehr-SIGH, but the town in Missouri is pronounced Vehr-SAILS.

Rolla was settled by people from inorthographate people from east central North Carolina who named it after their birth state’s capital city of Raleigh.

Cabool was named after Kabul, Afghanistan, again, by inorthographate founders.

How in Sam Hill…

2 03 2018

St. Charles

Not guilty.  This was his second trial, the first which resulted in a hung jury happened where the “incident” actually happened, in Audrain County.  This the second trial got moved to St. Charles County on a change of venue request from the defense.

From what I’ve read and heard, the case hinged on the question of whether Comerzan knew that a law enforcement officer was pursuing him, and as it turns out, the first jury could not agree unanimously on that question, and the second agreed unanimously that there was not evidence beyond a reasonable doubt that he did know.

But he did know he was going 105 on a motorcycle on a road which has a speed limit way less than that.  Even on the Missouri interstates with a maximum rural limit of 70, if you’re caught doing 105, you’re going to be taken in.

Why couldn’t his very excessive and dangerously high rate of speed by itself be used as some sort of affirmative evidence against him on some charge?

The 57th Governor of Missouri

22 02 2018

Jefferson City

My bet is that he will be within days.


21 02 2018

Jefferson City

I don’t get it.

Is the problem here the race gap, or is it underfunded rural white schools?

Because, while it’s technically possible for both to be problems in the same space at the same time, it’s rather difficult to reconcile the two.

Also remember that one of the historical reasons why rural white districts are underfunded is because the “urban” (full of yoots) districts and their “unique needs” wind up crowding out a good chunk of state money.  Remember, the state spent quite a bit on both St. Louis’s inter-district deseg program (“VICC”), and on the Kansas City Experiment.

Back to the point, the race gap in the AP universe persists in spite of the fact that the AP has tried to tweak (dumb down) both its offerings and tests to appeal to blacks (and Hispanics) in recent years.  One other point about the race gap is that it lumps whites and Asians into the same “winner” category, when I’d be more interested in the Asian-white gap.

Then there’s this at the end:

Missouri education officials also stress that some students prefer to take dual credit courses, which are college courses that high school students can enroll in through a partnership between a college and a public school system, rather than take AP exams. Others may enroll at a local college while still in high school. Some schools allow students to receive dual credit through an AP course.

Unlike AP, dual credit and dual enrollment guarantee students that they will earn college credit if they pass the courses. However, dual credit and dual enrollment only apply to Missouri colleges. Last year, 415 districts and charter schools with high schools offered dual credit; about 140 offered dual enrollment.

The reason “dual credit” classes “guarantee” college credit is because the colleges get paid off the scheme.  For the most part, colleges won’t accept AP as credit any longer, because doing so would be a means of accumulating credits without the colleges getting paid.  (Occam’s Razor, Generation X Edition).  Because of credential creep, and all the things that have led up to it and are driving it, cough cough, affirmative action, cough cough, the disparate impact of various Federal court decisions, cough cough, the Democrat Party and the education-industrial complex being one and the same, the goal that most students have when it comes to tertiary education is the piece of paper.  The option that helps them get that piece of paper faster or easier will be more popular than the one that doesn’t.