Prima Loretta

17 11 2015

Washington, D.C.

She’s right, but she misses the point.

First off, she says that there is “no data” to prove that cops are Ferguson Effect gun shy.  The problem with that is that I don’t think that sort of thing is quantifiable.  Even though it is qualifiable and anecdotal.  Another problem is that, in stating that there is no Ferguson Effect, all she’s saying is that the 2015 over 2014 black urban violent crime delta cannot be used as prima facie evidence of its existence.  However, it is evidence of something.

And that gets me to my point.  People keep thinking of the Ferguson effect in terms of hesitant cops.  I think AG Lynch is right in that it actually does not exist.  But that’s not the point, because that’s not really what the Ferguson effect is.  There was a fairly famous study out of Kansas City in the 1970s, where the KCPD varied its own known obvious presence in certain neighborhoods, ranging from a very intense high presence to virtual non-presence, with several gradations in between.  The study controlled for a lot of factors, including the most taboo factor.  The long and short of it is that police presence qua police presence really didn’t make a difference in terms of violent crime, or other sorts of serious crime, or with public dis/satisfaction with the cops.  I think the reason is simple:  Because most violent and other serious crime is of the sort that the mere presence of cops cannot deter, unless you have twenty per block on every block 24/7, and that’s just not possible.  Shitavious murks Ooktavious over Kool-Aid inside some house; how will even twenty cops on the street in front of the house prevent that from happening?

Even if the cops these days are hesitant, and they are justifiably so here in the post-Ferguson/Baltimore era, it ultimately means nothing to the violent crime rate.

What the Ferguson Effect really is, is that in the two to three years after a significant black riot, the city which experiences the riots will have a higher than usual black violent crime rate.  The reason for that is that black riots are not expressions of racial hopelessness and destitution, they are impressions of racial power.  They are victory riots; they happen for much the same reason why a city’s sports fans will riot when their city wins a major championship.  And, since the local dindus are amped up on the adrenaline of their own victory rioting and jubilation and racial energy, for the next few years, they channel that exuberance with increased violent crime rates, mostly against each other.  What it means is that more of those Shitavious-Ooktavious Kool-Aid murders of the sort that cops don’t have the capability to stop happen.

The only way a cop-side Ferguson Effect could exist and could marginally matter is if the local black thugs know that the cops are going to be hesitant.  This will marginally embolden them, but even then, it’s not a huge driving factor.

Oh Holy Pension

16 11 2015


KVOA-NBC-4 Tucson:

N4T Investigators: ATF officials in charge of scandalous gunwalk program allowed to retire

Several men have now been convicted for the murder of U.S. Border Patrol agent Brian Terry but we’ve looked into the murky cases of the men in charge of the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives gun-walking scandal known as Operation Fast and Furious and found those in charge of the program received a better deal.

Two men from Mexico were sentenced for the murder of Terry, in September. But we’ve learned that the men who allowed those defendants to get their hands on some assault rifles faced a much lighter sentence. Retirement complete with a government pension.

“He was honest, he loved his country, he was a Marine, a police officer, a BORTAC agent. He always did what was right. He loved life to the fullest. He never took anything for granted,” said Michelle Terry Balogh.

And therefore, he was the egg that had to be broken in order to make the omelet of politics here in the hopeychange era, as the hopeychanger-in-chief (or some ambitious underlings) hatched this whole scheme in order to sandbag both Second Amendment and immigration politics.

Did anyone think, therefore, that his spilled blood was going to affect anyone’s precious pensions?

Having Second Thoughts, Are We?

11 11 2015


Like I’ve been saying, it’s going to backfire on them because it’s not going to show the kind of misbehavior they’re expecting.

Though like I said on Monday, these cams did catch some cops perhaps doing some very bad things.  Again, not the kind of cops they were expecting and not the kind of victim they were expecting.

“She Abused Her Power”

5 11 2015



And that she apparently did.

I’m just more interested in her age minus her son’s age.

Free Fields

30 10 2015

Columbia, South Carolina

The story.

The hashtag.

I do find it interesting that none of the other students in that room really seemed upset with Fields doing the Beastie Toss with that particular student, barely a peep.

That said, I’m not for “freeing” Fields, because it was a really assholeish thing to do.  And I’m saying that even though I know the full context.  However, I don’t think any course of action beyond firing him is necessary, certainly not a Federal civil rights investigation.

Amonderez Green

29 10 2015


We have another situation brewing in the bellcurvey areas of North County.  Google News Search and of course the requisite #HASHTAG!

After the intense day I had yesterday, I simply didn’t have any time or room for this on my radar.  And really, I’m not much interested in it now, but this is the kind of thing that could get really ookey in a hurry, so I at least have to keep my ear to the ground.

Barry Contrary

29 10 2015



Obama tries to walk tightrope on policing in Chicago speech

President Barack Obama on Tuesday sought to balance minority concerns of overaggressive policing with an attempt to enlist law enforcement’s help to push for stronger federal gun-control laws.

Translation:  Massive wreck at the intersectionality of #BLM and gun control.

Also from the C-Trib:

Obama wants nationwide gun laws to fill in gaps left by local efforts

One evening in late August about half a mile from President Barack Obama’s Chicago home, someone in a passing car pulled up to a silver Volkswagen and fired several shots through the driver’s side window, killing the driver, execution-style.

The suspected gang shooting happened close to a playground, an elementary school and a high school, where football practice was wrapping up for the night.

The crime terrified Obama’s old neighbors and highlighted just how closely the problem of gun violence hits for the president as it rages unabated in Chicago. Obama’s home city is at the center of a debate about the effectiveness of the kinds of gun laws the president backs.

What it should have done is make people why wonder why Obama wants everyone else to hate cops but he probably deliberately chose his Hyde Park house precisely because it had two layers of police protection at the time, Chicago City and University of Chicago, and now the entirety of the Federal government on top of it now that he’s President.

I also thought that it was supposed to be the other way around, that local laws were supposed to fill in the gaps by the country’s “weak” laws.


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