“Legacy of Slavery”

17 08 2016

Downtown

It really does say that.

Even though this is a report by the St. Louis Fed, it’s a report about the whole country, not just the St. Louis area.  The St. Louis branch of the Fed specializes in research and reporting.  Until recently, it’s where we got BOGUMBNS (aka M0) reporting from, to expose the vast increase in physical cash circulating as a result of quantitative easing.  “Until recently,” because they no longer report it.  I guess we’re not supposed to know certain things.

I don’t have the time or ability at this moment to give serious brain power to possible flaws in their methodology, but I want to note that this is interesting:

The analysis aimed to examine a general assumption that high-risk borrowers — blacks, Hispanics, the young and the less-educated — regularly employ bad choices and risk-taking behaviors when taking out loans.

“A general assumption?”  From whom?  By whom?  I know I assume it, and I know you assume it.  But that’s because we’re part of the untouchable untermenschen of the alt-right.  Official polite society does not allow us to think about these things or even know these things.  So, if STL Fed is thinking that this “general assumption” is pervasive such that they must refute it, then it must be because people are coming to the conclusion on their own, not because they are officially instructed to think that.  As you can infer from this article, we are officially instructed to discount that.

Just as an ice breaker, I think the main problem with this methodology is that its authors think there’s a necessary Berlin Wall between “bad choices and risk-taking behaviors” and “financial circumstances.”  When in reality, the former can affect the latter, and the existence of the latter can be evidence of but is not necessarily proof of the former.

Also, they tell us about blacks, Hispanics and whites.  But not about Asians, curiously.

 





One Single Reason

4 08 2016

North County

“There is no single reason”

Except when there is.

Old Jamestown is the last pretty much all white area of North County, and is middle to upper middle income.  Jennings is Bell Curve City.  The Battle of the Fergaza Strip was technically only a matter of a fraction of a mile from happening in Jennings, and not Ferguson.  Southeast Ferguson, the Fergaza Strip, in fact, has a far more Jennings feel than a Ferguson one.





Couldn’t Get Through a Weekend Without Reading About Gaps

10 07 2016

USA

Started with a tweet from Chris Hayes.  MSNBC’s, not Channel 2’s.

I tweeted this link back to him.

Which pretty much tells you all you need to know, except my problem with LGDL’s missive is that it presumes that black and white criminality rates are uniform across all states, and that the state by state differences in per-race incarceration rates is entirely a function of strictness or leniency in the various states’ law enforcement and criminal sentencing cultures.  Maybe they are roughly equal enough to fit in the relevant range of this analysis, and their differences don’t make this analysis any less true.  However, it is undeniable that the white criminality rate in Arkansas is higher than the white criminality rate in Wisconsin, and the black criminality rate in Mississippi is higher than the black criminality rate in Alaska.

It does lead to an interesting point — That if deincarceration is actually a bone fide thing, instead of what I think it is, all hot air, bluster and diversionary noise to conceal increasing incarceration, then it will wind up increasing the B:W incarceration gap, because, as you can see, moving the incarceration threshold from strict to lenient will wind up freeing or non-incarcerating more whites than blacks.  Moving the threshold the other way, from lenient to strict, hits against the law of diminishing marginal returns when it comes to blacks, because so much of their criminality is the type that not even lenient jurisdictions can ignore.  But moving the threshold from strict to lenient means scooping up a lot of low  hanging fruit kinds of whites.

Sentencing Project’s maps.  The Hispanic-white gap is interesting to me.  I think a big part of the reason why there are a fair number of states, including Missouri, where the H:W ratio is under 1 (Missouri is 0.6) is small Hispanic population sizes juxtaposed with enough lower class whites.  But when you’re in the border states, the H:W ratio is well over 1, in fact, close to 2 in New Mexico, Arizona and California.  And I think the reason why it’s higher in the Northeast (4.3 in Massachusetts, e.g.) is because East Coast Hispanics are mulatto Caribbeans, not continental Chicanos/Mestizos from Mexico southward.





Magic and Tragic Dirt

20 06 2016

Cleveland

I found this gem while searching the Cleveland media for news about riots overexuberant bouncyball fans.

It’s a thing, but it’s not a brand new thing to me, because this kind of thing is discussed in St. Louis a lot, the zip code health gap.

But now I think it’s just another excuse for AFFH.  Notsam perhaps can help me, but I get the feeling that the Cleveland area zip codes 44103 and 44108 have a lot of gentrification potential and are close to Cleveland’s central business district.





Stereohype Threat

19 06 2016

New Brunswick, New Jersey

This is the second of a three-part counter-response to a response to a WSJ editorial that the author of the counter-responses co-authored.  All the links are there or in the links themselves if you want to get up to speed.

But I think Dr. Jussim is wasting his time debating over the stereotype threat.

That’s because the stereotype threat not only does not exist, it can’t possibly exist and never could have existed in the climate of the almost century since the Boasian Revolution.

I’ll net it all out for you:  Stereotype threat means that blacks don’t do that well on tests because they have been told that they are innately intellectually inferior, therefore, they don’t bother trying.  (Which begs the question:  Why do they even bother taking the test?)

That’s easy to refute:  When in the conscious lifetimes of everyone reading these words have blacks officially been instructed that they are innately intellectually inferior?  One actually has to go looking for social science research in the racial differences in IQ; the librarians hide it well, and that’s if you can get past the psychological firewall installed against our curiosity; you know, six million and gas chambers and all that jazz.

In reality, blacks are instructed to think that if they don’t do as well on tests as whites, it’s because there’s something wrong with the tests, and that’s of course an excuse that is very easy for them to believe.





Can’t Spell “GAP” Without “AP”

21 05 2016

Around the Metro

Because the question of why there are so few blacks in difficult and rigorous courses is such a mystery.

However, if you read closely, you’ll find a fly in the AFFH ointment — The AP-GAP is also present in the mostly white suburban districts.

Also, fewer and fewer colleges are giving credit to high school AP courses, precisely because of the reason stated:  It saves tuition.  Do you think schools are in the business of collecting less tuition money?

I suppose the only solution is to force everyone into the pool, no high school diploma unless you pass AP Calculus.  Then ten years later, we’ll read about MUH DISPUT IMPAK and the high school graduation gap.  Solving one gap makes another worse.  We’re forever stuck on a Mobius Loop of worrying about gaps.





Diversity Has Consequences

27 04 2016

Washington, D.C.

ZOMG NAEP SKOREZ LOL~!!!!!1

But they do tell us the truth:

Peggy Carr, acting commissioner of the National Center for Education Statistics, which conducts the test, said officials couldn’t tie changes in scores to any particular education policies but demographic shifts may play a role. The dropout rate has improved for every racial and ethnic group, she said, so some struggling students who wouldn’t have taken the test in the past did so last year.

(snip)

In reading, 49% of Asian students performed at or above proficiency last year. So did 46% of white students, 25% of Hispanic students and 17% of black students.

(snip)

In math, 47% of Asian students performed at or above proficiency. So did 32% of white students, 12% of Hispanic students and 7% of black students.

But they’re stuck with an unfathomable paradox, unfathomable to them, but not to me, and not to most of you:

Educators and policy makers have long lamented that many seniors get diplomas even though they aren’t ready for college, careers or the military. Those who go to college often burn through financial aid or build debt while taking remedial classes that don’t earn credits toward a degree.

Bill Bushaw, executive director of the National Assessment Governing Board, which oversees the test, said the board was pleased that high school graduation rates were rising, but disappointed in the lack of progress in boosting students’ skills and knowledge.

That’s what happens when grade inflation, social promotion and racial pity mash up; high school diplomas are basically medical certifications that you have a pulse and are breathing at the age of eighteen.

Another point of order:  Why are we supposed to get our panties in a bunch over not all high school seniors being college ready?  If tertiary education is supposed to be more lofty and more prestigious and more difficult than secondary education, then it stands to reason and is a mathematical inevitability that some percentage of high school seniors less than a hundred, even less than fifty, are truly going to be college ready.  If 100% of high school seniors are college ready, then that makes college nothing more than four more years of high school.








Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 2,911 other followers