Couldn’t Get Through a Weekend Without Reading About Gaps

10 07 2016


Started with a tweet from Chris Hayes.  MSNBC’s, not Channel 2’s.

I tweeted this link back to him.

Which pretty much tells you all you need to know, except my problem with LGDL’s missive is that it presumes that black and white criminality rates are uniform across all states, and that the state by state differences in per-race incarceration rates is entirely a function of strictness or leniency in the various states’ law enforcement and criminal sentencing cultures.  Maybe they are roughly equal enough to fit in the relevant range of this analysis, and their differences don’t make this analysis any less true.  However, it is undeniable that the white criminality rate in Arkansas is higher than the white criminality rate in Wisconsin, and the black criminality rate in Mississippi is higher than the black criminality rate in Alaska.

It does lead to an interesting point — That if deincarceration is actually a bone fide thing, instead of what I think it is, all hot air, bluster and diversionary noise to conceal increasing incarceration, then it will wind up increasing the B:W incarceration gap, because, as you can see, moving the incarceration threshold from strict to lenient will wind up freeing or non-incarcerating more whites than blacks.  Moving the threshold the other way, from lenient to strict, hits against the law of diminishing marginal returns when it comes to blacks, because so much of their criminality is the type that not even lenient jurisdictions can ignore.  But moving the threshold from strict to lenient means scooping up a lot of low  hanging fruit kinds of whites.

Sentencing Project’s maps.  The Hispanic-white gap is interesting to me.  I think a big part of the reason why there are a fair number of states, including Missouri, where the H:W ratio is under 1 (Missouri is 0.6) is small Hispanic population sizes juxtaposed with enough lower class whites.  But when you’re in the border states, the H:W ratio is well over 1, in fact, close to 2 in New Mexico, Arizona and California.  And I think the reason why it’s higher in the Northeast (4.3 in Massachusetts, e.g.) is because East Coast Hispanics are mulatto Caribbeans, not continental Chicanos/Mestizos from Mexico southward.

Magic and Tragic Dirt

20 06 2016


I found this gem while searching the Cleveland media for news about riots overexuberant bouncyball fans.

It’s a thing, but it’s not a brand new thing to me, because this kind of thing is discussed in St. Louis a lot, the zip code health gap.

But now I think it’s just another excuse for AFFH.  Notsam perhaps can help me, but I get the feeling that the Cleveland area zip codes 44103 and 44108 have a lot of gentrification potential and are close to Cleveland’s central business district.

Stereohype Threat

19 06 2016

New Brunswick, New Jersey

This is the second of a three-part counter-response to a response to a WSJ editorial that the author of the counter-responses co-authored.  All the links are there or in the links themselves if you want to get up to speed.

But I think Dr. Jussim is wasting his time debating over the stereotype threat.

That’s because the stereotype threat not only does not exist, it can’t possibly exist and never could have existed in the climate of the almost century since the Boasian Revolution.

I’ll net it all out for you:  Stereotype threat means that blacks don’t do that well on tests because they have been told that they are innately intellectually inferior, therefore, they don’t bother trying.  (Which begs the question:  Why do they even bother taking the test?)

That’s easy to refute:  When in the conscious lifetimes of everyone reading these words have blacks officially been instructed that they are innately intellectually inferior?  One actually has to go looking for social science research in the racial differences in IQ; the librarians hide it well, and that’s if you can get past the psychological firewall installed against our curiosity; you know, six million and gas chambers and all that jazz.

In reality, blacks are instructed to think that if they don’t do as well on tests as whites, it’s because there’s something wrong with the tests, and that’s of course an excuse that is very easy for them to believe.

Can’t Spell “GAP” Without “AP”

21 05 2016

Around the Metro

Because the question of why there are so few blacks in difficult and rigorous courses is such a mystery.

However, if you read closely, you’ll find a fly in the AFFH ointment — The AP-GAP is also present in the mostly white suburban districts.

Also, fewer and fewer colleges are giving credit to high school AP courses, precisely because of the reason stated:  It saves tuition.  Do you think schools are in the business of collecting less tuition money?

I suppose the only solution is to force everyone into the pool, no high school diploma unless you pass AP Calculus.  Then ten years later, we’ll read about MUH DISPUT IMPAK and the high school graduation gap.  Solving one gap makes another worse.  We’re forever stuck on a Mobius Loop of worrying about gaps.

Diversity Has Consequences

27 04 2016

Washington, D.C.


But they do tell us the truth:

Peggy Carr, acting commissioner of the National Center for Education Statistics, which conducts the test, said officials couldn’t tie changes in scores to any particular education policies but demographic shifts may play a role. The dropout rate has improved for every racial and ethnic group, she said, so some struggling students who wouldn’t have taken the test in the past did so last year.


In reading, 49% of Asian students performed at or above proficiency last year. So did 46% of white students, 25% of Hispanic students and 17% of black students.


In math, 47% of Asian students performed at or above proficiency. So did 32% of white students, 12% of Hispanic students and 7% of black students.

But they’re stuck with an unfathomable paradox, unfathomable to them, but not to me, and not to most of you:

Educators and policy makers have long lamented that many seniors get diplomas even though they aren’t ready for college, careers or the military. Those who go to college often burn through financial aid or build debt while taking remedial classes that don’t earn credits toward a degree.

Bill Bushaw, executive director of the National Assessment Governing Board, which oversees the test, said the board was pleased that high school graduation rates were rising, but disappointed in the lack of progress in boosting students’ skills and knowledge.

That’s what happens when grade inflation, social promotion and racial pity mash up; high school diplomas are basically medical certifications that you have a pulse and are breathing at the age of eighteen.

Another point of order:  Why are we supposed to get our panties in a bunch over not all high school seniors being college ready?  If tertiary education is supposed to be more lofty and more prestigious and more difficult than secondary education, then it stands to reason and is a mathematical inevitability that some percentage of high school seniors less than a hundred, even less than fifty, are truly going to be college ready.  If 100% of high school seniors are college ready, then that makes college nothing more than four more years of high school.

Crazy For Trying

21 12 2015


Philadelphia Inquirer:

Blacks fail Philly police psych screening more than whites


From 2011 through 2014, 72.5 percent of the 262 black applicants passed the psych evaluation, compared with 81.2 percent of the 823 white candidates.

Hispanic applicants fell in between, at 75 percent of 176 job-seekers. Applicants of Asian descent fared the worst, at less than 58 percent, but their overall numbers were small – just 66 applicants over the four-year period.

So it’s the Asians that failed it the most, but the blacks are the ones bitching.  Remember, we’re always instructed about the coalition of the ascendant, the racial newcomers.  Yet, when the topic is race in the United States, it always seems to come down to black and white.

Experts caution that the different passing rates are not necessarily evidence of discrimination.

Ordinarily, one would think so.  But, an army of Federal judges disagree.  Hence the disparate impact madness.

Under U.S. Equal Employment Opportunity Commission guidelines, if an employment screening tool results in a minority racial group being hired at less than four-fifths the rate of the majority, the burden is on the employer to show why that tool is a valid predictor of job success and not discriminatory.

For the Philadelphia police, that means black police candidates would have to pass the psych evaluation at a rate below 65 percent – four-fifths of the 81.2 passing rate for whites.

Nuts, no disparate impact lawsuit?  Well, unless the Asians want to have some fun.

However, people of low socioeconomic status may fare worse on certain aspects of the test, if raised in an environment where rule-breaking and challenging authority were commonplace, said David Corey, a Lake Oswego, Ore.-based psychologist who consults for law enforcement agencies across the United States and Canada.

Psychopaths and sociopaths might not make good cops.

As a result, it is inappropriate to use the true-false test by itself as a screening tool, Ben-Porath and Corey said. Some of the true-false questions probe the applicant’s history of conduct problems, so a skilled psychologist would then use the interview to determine whether any such tendencies were still an issue, they said.

“It’s important to look at the whole person,” Corey said. “Are these a reflection of contemporary problems? Or are these a reflection of past problems?”

“It’s important to look at the whole person” means that ignore test results and qualifications and hire the whole negro.

The lower passing rates among black applicants indicate the need for scrutiny of the psychologists who do the interviews, said Rochelle Bilal, president of the Guardian Civic League, a nonprofit that advocates on behalf of black police officers in Philadelphia.

In a more sane time, the lower passing rates among black applicants would have been said to have been indicative of something not quite so positive about the black applicants.

There are two ironies here:

One, the Black Autumn extortion mobs on college campi have as almost a universal demand better campus mental health services.

Two, the Black Lives Matter bunch wants better psychological screening so that agencies can better identify and not hire people who want to mow down black babies’ bodies.

When they get what they want, they gripe when it shows them to be deficient.

Be There And Be Square

4 11 2015


Anybody going to broach the subject of black people taking on frivolous debt and their propensity not to repay?



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