“Vote Republican”

4 04 2015

Indianapolis

The state’s governor is a Republican.

The state House is 71 Republicans to 29 Democrats.

The state Senate is 40 Republicans to 10 Democrats.

The results?

Well, you already know.

Why is this a surprise?  Ninety-one days into the current Federal Congress, both chambers Republican controlled, we’re still waiting for some piece of legislation to emerge from it that cuts off funding to Baraq Obama’s amnesty fatwa.





Jeb and Jeff

2 01 2015

Iowa

Jeb Bush isn’t going to Steve King’s powwow.

Jeff Flake (Flaky) got this ball rolling.

Remember, Iowa is usually a swing state in the fall.  Don’t spurn Iowa early in the year.





Do the Jebby

15 12 2014

Washington, D.C.

NYT:

In New Election, Jeb Bush Stakes Out the Middle Ground

WASHINGTON — When former Gov. Jeb Bush of Florida quietly visited Senator John McCain in his Capitol Hill office this fall, discussion turned to a subject of increasing interest to Mr. Bush: how to run for president without pandering to the party’s conservative base.

“I just said to him, ‘I think if you look back, despite the far right’s complaints, it is the centrist that wins the nomination,’ ” Mr. McCain, an Arizona Republican, said he told Mr. Bush.

In the past few weeks, Mr. Bush has moved toward a run for the White House. His family’s resistance has receded. His advisers are seeking staff. And the former governor is even slimming down, shedding about 15 pounds thanks to frequent swimming and personal training sessions after a knee operation last year.

But before pursuing the presidency, Mr. Bush, 61, is grappling with the central question of whether he can prevail in a grueling primary battle without shifting his positions or altering his persona to satisfy his party’s hard-liners. In conversations with donors, friends and advisers, he is discussing whether he can navigate, and avoid being tripped up by, the conservative Republican base.

Asking President John McCain for advice on how to win?  Great Idea!

Actually, 2008 does provide the template on how Bush can win the nomination while running as a non-conservative, because it’s how McCain did it that year — A whole conga line of conservatives or pseudo-conservatives will get into the race in order to pad their resumes or satisfy their egos.  They’ll split the conservative vote, and the media-favored “moderate” will win almost all of the early primaries and caucuses with 25-30% of the vote, but get all of the delegates from those states because of winner-take-all.  Eventually, the media-favored “moderate” keeps on ekeing out so many wins with laughably puny plurality percentages but gathers such a big delegate lead combined with the media mindshare that opposing him eventually becomes futile, and everyone else either literally drops out or quits campaigning, meaning the media-favored “moderate” will win the later primaries with landslide percentages.

The party’s establishment elites and some longtime advisers to Mr. Bush are urging him to remain steadfast on his positions, especially on immigration, if he runs. They are convinced that Mitt Romney ruined his chance to win in the fall of 2012 by veering too far to the right during the primaries, turning off general election voters as a result.

I can forgive people for not being adept at the relatively obscure political history that happened before they were born, but self-styled political experts should know a lot better about the political history of not even three years ago.  Willard Romney never veered to the right at all.  He never won a single Southern primary or caucus while Gingrich and/or Santorum were viable; in fact, in Alabama and Mississippi, Romney finished in third place behind both.  Romney won the nomination by being the favored Republican candidate of Republican voters in blue states and of Republican voters in blue counties in competitive states.  What he didn’t realize is that blue states and blue counties are blue because they have more blue voters than red voters, so while he could easily win Massachusetts or New Jersey or Wayne County, Michigan or Cuyahoga County, Ohio in the primary season, they were inevitably going to be blue in November because they have way more many Democrat voters than moderate Republican voters.  Meanwhile, Alabama and Mississippi were right there for Romney in November, and while Romney didn’t win Ohio or Michigan in the fall, just about all the Santorum counties in the spring in those states were Romney counties in the fall.

One thing that became perfectly clear in the 2012 aftermath is that Romney’s inability to sell himself to white Southerners in the spring was a very good proxy of the problems he would have in selling himself to non-Southern white working class voters in the fall.





Read It And Weep

10 12 2014

boehner-betray

Well, we know John Boehner would weep no matter what.

Yep, this thing is really a turkey.





Box Car Willie

30 11 2014

Aztlan

NYT:

Each time Mr. Boehner arrived at the White House for an event, the president would pull him aside and ask about immigration, according to White House and Republican aides. Mr. Boehner urged patience, saying there was a “narrow path” to get something done, despite opposition in his party from what Republican aides call the “boxcars crowd,” a reference to conservative members who favor deportation for most of the 11 million.

Godwin’s Law?  No, a dead letter.

“Republican aides” means staffers for various House and Senate Republicans.  I expect this kind of crackpot talk from kook left clickbait websites and some of the loonier elected Democrats and their staffers.  Remember, by their fruits, ye shall know them, and by the kinds of staffers they hire, ye shall know the politicians.  Elected politicians have to tow a narrow rhetorical line, using words and phrases run through PR firms and focus groups aplenty, but they telegraph who they really are for the kind of people they hire to be on their staffs.

If it’s immigration, box cars and deaths you want…

And also, Dwight Eisenhower (“Operation Wetback”) was a Nazi?





The Fun Starts Wednesday

2 11 2014

Washington, D.C.

No matter how Tuesday turns out, a lot of RINO vs TPM tension that was out in the open during primary season but was papered over during the general election season is going to bust wide open starting on Wednesday.

Buckle up and grab the popcorn.





Gop Goop Glop

6 10 2014

Washington, D.C.

Want to know why there might be a disconnect between public anger at Obama and the Democrats and Senate Republican candidates’ less than stellar showing in the polls?

Try this.

You’ll notice that a company called TracFone is the single largest beneficiary of income since the Lifeline program was extended into the cell phone space in 2008, because of a bill signed by then-President George W. Bush.  (That’s why they really should be called Bushphones, and not Obamaphones.)  Who owns TracFone?  Carlos Slim.

So if you add it all up, all it means is that Carlos Slim is spending a lot of money (by our standards, but pocket change to him) to convince House Republicans not to cut the Bushphone program by even one red penny, hiding behind the uniforms of disabled veterans in the process. That said, expect a barrage of editorials in the New York Times denouncing any Republican or anyone who wants to spend slightly less on Bushphones next year than this year.

Which means this woman will probably never have to worry about losing her free sail foam, no matter which of the “two” parties wins elections.








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