John Boehner Purges More Than National Review

24 06 2015

Washington, D.C.

Read all about it, here, here and here.

As for that rebellion and revolt that Newsweak (sic) describes, well, I have a suggestion.  Actually, I have two suggestions, but the idea of making me the first American hereditary monarch is a bit too far afield for most people, so I’ll give them my more moderate suggestion.  Which does not involve “taking back the Republican Party” or lamestream conservative purity.





No There There

22 05 2015

Washington, D.C.

Pew:

Negative Views of New Congress Cross Party Lines

Republicans Want GOP Leaders to Challenge Obama More Often

(snip)

Unlike after some previous partisan turnovers on Capitol Hill, negative assessments of the new Congress now cross party lines. Today, just 41% of Republicans approve of the job their party’s leaders in Congress are doing. By comparison, in April 2011, 60% of Republicans approved of GOP leaders’ job performance and in April 1995, 78% approved of GOP leadership’s policies and proposals.

And just 37% of Republicans say their party’s leaders are keeping their campaign promises, while 53% say they are not. In 2011, after the party won its House majority, 54% said GOP leaders were keeping promises. And in April 1995 — as the Republican-led Congress hit the 100-day milestone — fully 80% of Republicans said this.

(snip)

The survey finds deep differences in how Republicans and Democrats want President Obama and GOP leaders to deal with issues. Fully 75% of Republicans want GOP leaders to challenge Obama more often; just 15% say they are handling relations with the president about right and 7% say GOP leaders should go along with Obama more often.

(snip)

Today, more Republicans say they disapprove (55%) than approve (41%) of the Republican congressional leadership’s job performance. In February, Republican evaluations were more positive (50% of Republicans approved of the GOP leadership’s job performance, 44% disapproved). And this shift in opinion is primarily seen among conservative Republicans: 54% approved of GOP congressional leaders’ job performance in February, today just 41% approve.

(snip)

On a set of three current issues – government spending, illegal immigration and same-sex marriage – rank-and-file Republicans are much more critical of how their party has dealt with each than Democrats are of their own party’s performance.

Fewer than four-in-ten Republicans and Republican leaners say the Republican Party is doing a good job representing their views on the issues of government spending (35%), illegal immigration (34%) and same-sex marriage (29%). On all three issues, majorities of Republicans say their party is not doing a good job representing their views.

(snip)

Republican ratings of their party on these issues are no better than they were in a September 2014 survey, prior to the GOP winning control of the Senate in the November midterm elections.

We’re almost five months into this Congress, Republicans run both ends of The Hill.  So far, they have not yet sent President Obama a piece of legislation blocking his pen-and-phone immigration amnesty, repealing ObamaDontCare or at least its worst element, and just yesterday the Senate passed a trade bill whose details are more closely guarded than our nuclear secrets, with only five Republicans (Sessions, Paul, Lee, Collins, Shelby) voting no.  Come to think of it, what the hell have they done?





Hooray, Or Something Like That

27 04 2015

Miami

WaPo:

Jeb Bush tells his donors they’ve helped make history

Jeb Bush told about 350 of the top donors to his super PAC on Sunday evening that the organization has raised more money in its first 100 days than any other Republican operation in modern history, according to several people in attendance.

Yes, they have helped “make history.”  They’ve helped make quality governance a thing of the past.

But you’ll be glad to know that even Jeb Bush and his Stupor PAC has its limits:

The former Florida governor has spent the past several months on a nonstop fundraising blitz, headlining high-priced finance events at country clubs and resorts nationwide. Money has come in at such a rapid clip that his aides temporarily limited donations to $1 million.

Anything more than $1,000,000 might lend the suggestion of bribery, after all.

Bush aides said that about 350 people signed up to attend the donor conference. Among the people spotted at the hotel were … (snip) … Miami-based lobbyist Al Cardenas and his son, David Cardenas… (snip)

Al Cardenas ran the American Conservative Union until not long after 2014’s CPAC, and of course the ACU puts on CPAC. Now you know why CPAC was such a turkey in the last handful number of years, and why this year’s version was slightly better.

Now I’m starting to think that Jeb Bush won’t miss Sheldon Adelson’s money, which is going to that other Miami-based Presidential candidate.





Blogmeister Echo Syndrome

21 04 2015

Washington, D.C.

Me, on March 17:

The insurance industry will make sure all the Republican politicians they bought and paid for restores the Federal subsidies if SCOTUS does the “wrong” (i.e. right) thing.  Congress will do it so quickly that they’ll beat Planck Time.

Well well.





“Vote Republican”

4 04 2015

Indianapolis

The state’s governor is a Republican.

The state House is 71 Republicans to 29 Democrats.

The state Senate is 40 Republicans to 10 Democrats.

The results?

Well, you already know.

Why is this a surprise?  Ninety-one days into the current Federal Congress, both chambers Republican controlled, we’re still waiting for some piece of legislation to emerge from it that cuts off funding to Baraq Obama’s amnesty fatwa.





Jeb and Jeff

2 01 2015

Iowa

Jeb Bush isn’t going to Steve King’s powwow.

Jeff Flake (Flaky) got this ball rolling.

Remember, Iowa is usually a swing state in the fall.  Don’t spurn Iowa early in the year.





Do the Jebby

15 12 2014

Washington, D.C.

NYT:

In New Election, Jeb Bush Stakes Out the Middle Ground

WASHINGTON — When former Gov. Jeb Bush of Florida quietly visited Senator John McCain in his Capitol Hill office this fall, discussion turned to a subject of increasing interest to Mr. Bush: how to run for president without pandering to the party’s conservative base.

“I just said to him, ‘I think if you look back, despite the far right’s complaints, it is the centrist that wins the nomination,’ ” Mr. McCain, an Arizona Republican, said he told Mr. Bush.

In the past few weeks, Mr. Bush has moved toward a run for the White House. His family’s resistance has receded. His advisers are seeking staff. And the former governor is even slimming down, shedding about 15 pounds thanks to frequent swimming and personal training sessions after a knee operation last year.

But before pursuing the presidency, Mr. Bush, 61, is grappling with the central question of whether he can prevail in a grueling primary battle without shifting his positions or altering his persona to satisfy his party’s hard-liners. In conversations with donors, friends and advisers, he is discussing whether he can navigate, and avoid being tripped up by, the conservative Republican base.

Asking President John McCain for advice on how to win?  Great Idea!

Actually, 2008 does provide the template on how Bush can win the nomination while running as a non-conservative, because it’s how McCain did it that year — A whole conga line of conservatives or pseudo-conservatives will get into the race in order to pad their resumes or satisfy their egos.  They’ll split the conservative vote, and the media-favored “moderate” will win almost all of the early primaries and caucuses with 25-30% of the vote, but get all of the delegates from those states because of winner-take-all.  Eventually, the media-favored “moderate” keeps on ekeing out so many wins with laughably puny plurality percentages but gathers such a big delegate lead combined with the media mindshare that opposing him eventually becomes futile, and everyone else either literally drops out or quits campaigning, meaning the media-favored “moderate” will win the later primaries with landslide percentages.

The party’s establishment elites and some longtime advisers to Mr. Bush are urging him to remain steadfast on his positions, especially on immigration, if he runs. They are convinced that Mitt Romney ruined his chance to win in the fall of 2012 by veering too far to the right during the primaries, turning off general election voters as a result.

I can forgive people for not being adept at the relatively obscure political history that happened before they were born, but self-styled political experts should know a lot better about the political history of not even three years ago.  Willard Romney never veered to the right at all.  He never won a single Southern primary or caucus while Gingrich and/or Santorum were viable; in fact, in Alabama and Mississippi, Romney finished in third place behind both.  Romney won the nomination by being the favored Republican candidate of Republican voters in blue states and of Republican voters in blue counties in competitive states.  What he didn’t realize is that blue states and blue counties are blue because they have more blue voters than red voters, so while he could easily win Massachusetts or New Jersey or Wayne County, Michigan or Cuyahoga County, Ohio in the primary season, they were inevitably going to be blue in November because they have way more many Democrat voters than moderate Republican voters.  Meanwhile, Alabama and Mississippi were right there for Romney in November, and while Romney didn’t win Ohio or Michigan in the fall, just about all the Santorum counties in the spring in those states were Romney counties in the fall.

One thing that became perfectly clear in the 2012 aftermath is that Romney’s inability to sell himself to white Southerners in the spring was a very good proxy of the problems he would have in selling himself to non-Southern white working class voters in the fall.








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