Meet in the Middle (Apropos on a Sunday)

23 04 2017

Lexington, Kentucky


There is the official statistic for atheism.

But there’s also a Bradley Effect which statistically conceals the true extent of atheism, so these researchers believe, and they think they have found a way to nuance and triangulate their way to a more accurate statistic.

I think the truth is somewhere in the middle.

I think what these researchers are actually seeing are people who are somewhat religious but also have lingering doubts.

Now I’m about to drop the mic, along with a profound tidbit of wisdom.

There aren’t that many true believers, and there aren’t that many true atheists.  A majority of believers aren’t quite as solid in their faith as they put on, and a majority of atheists have more theistic faith than they care to admit.

Whether we want to admit it or not, we tend to huddle around a moderate and small standard deviation level of faith and spirituality.

Slick Speech

23 04 2017

Burlington, Vermont

Eugene Volokh misses the point.

Howard Dean knows it’s not true.

But he wants it to be true.

He also knows that a lie makes it to the other side of the world before the truth can get out of bed and put its boots on.

Just keep saying something over and over and over again, and that will eventually make it true.


District in a Poke

23 04 2017

Jefferson City

I heard the General Assembly was working on more banal tweaks to the Turner law, instead of what they really should be doing, repealing the Turner law.

The House passed a bunch of tweaks that would change the disaccreditation process to a per-school process instead of a per-district process.  Meaning that if a given school within a district loses its accreditation, its students would have to be transferred to accredited schools within the same district, and if those slots are full, or so many schools within a district lose their accreditation, then they can transfer to another district per the original provisions of the Turner law.

The Senate’s version of this legislative package is different, and if they pass different bills, then it will have to go to conference to iron out the differences, and then to second chamber votes.  There’s not even a month left in the session, so my bet is that no bill will make it to Greitens’s desk by May 19.

The problem with the House version is that I don’t see how the whole could be much different from the sum of its parts, and vice versa, in matters like these.  To put it another way, if some schools in a given district are bad and some are okay, then the okay schools will statistically cover for the bad ones in the district’s average, meaning the district wouldn’t lose its accreditation.  If a district does lose its accreditation, it has to mean that almost every if not every one of its schools are bad, and therefore, under the new system proposed in the House bill, almost all if not every one of the district’s individual schools would lose their creds, and then at that point, we’ll be back to square one, as they’ll have to transfer out of district.

Sunday Wrap-Up

23 04 2017


* And that’s how we pass the buck, and avoid having to discuss something taboo.

* Her legacy in a world with her no longer a part of it will be that all the cameras that her estate have purchased will help the cops catch blacks who will then get slaps on the hand from the Circuit Attorney and the judges of the 22nd Circuit.

* It’s as easy as this:  Security guard abuses his power to get sloppy toppy from shoplifters.

* Doesn’t his mugshot just scream “I just murdered my own brother?”


* And hence, the Alt-Right.

* To be honest, most actual professionals in the field aren’t that much better.  Which speaks to the unconstitutionally complex (substantive due process) complexity of income taxation laws.

* Why do the words “Cliven Bundy” come to mind after reading this story?

* Uh oh, massive wreck at the intersectionality of sustainability and appropriation.

* Now you know why “Antifa” thrives in Berkeley.  It’s because just about every mature adult with some kind of political, cultural or social power either is part of them or agrees with them.

* You’d think all-men colleges wouldn’t face criticism at all.  If there were more of them, then all the evil Haven Monahan rapists would have their own schools, and they wouldn’t be terrorizing the other schools.


* We’re supposed to be outraged, but remember my standard retort whenever this non-news is news:  These are nothing more than enhanced street gangs.  If American domestic law enforcement and the criminal justice system did not sorta keep the bloods and crips in check, they would in short order evolve into these kinds of outfits.

* How many Brits does it take to change a light bulb?

* Looking at someone the wrong way is racism.  Not looking at someone at all is racism.


* All praise due to Kek.

* I must be turning into a real ornery bastard, because my hot reaction after reading this was:

“Is the golf course okay?”

* It being Atlanta, I would have used a different flag.

* Well why not?  They build dams, don’t they?

* I didn’t even need to read past the title to know that Belichick’s use of white wide receivers was going to come up.  But I did read the whole thing, and not surprisingly, Richard Spencer was mentioned.  Surprisingly, so was the dork in Orlando with a fax machine, who poured cold water all over Strauss’s silly clickbait.

* “This was 2002. Before internet culture, before the iPhone, before video ubiquity. “Viral” still meant disease.”

I happened to be alive and very coherent in 2002.  There was no internet culture in 2002?  Nothing went viral on the internet in 2002?  Sure, the Web 2.0 era has not dawned, non-CrackBerry smartphones were still a few years away, and YouTube in between.  Even then, there were still plenty of streaming video opportunities on the web.

Mountain from a Hundred Miles

23 04 2017


“Shocking,” that MLP made the runoff.

Yes, it’s shocking, unless you’ve been paying attention to the race and the polling data for the last handful of months.

That so much of the media are parroting this “shocking” line this afternoon makes me think about what I wrote here yesterday.  In light of both things, I am now going with a derivative of my second theory.  What I mean is that they kept saying MLP will make the runoff for months, thinking she wouldn’t, and perhaps having scientific polling to back it up.  They did that so that when she didn’t make the runoff, they’d have grounds to gloat and beat their chest about people souring on the FN and popnat parties.

But MLP did make the runoff, therefore, they’re shocked.

We’re Blinding Them With Science

22 04 2017


The intellectual and practical activity encompassing the systematic study of the structure and behavior of the physical and natural world through observation and experiment.

That’s how Oxford University defines “science” in terms of American English.

So, as I look at the P-D’s photo set for today’s “March for Science” downtown, why do I see:

* Equal rights
*  Planned Parenthood
*  Make It Legal (i.e. marijuana) (Ever read medical literature about marijuana?  It’s none too kind, and wouldn’t invoke the spirit of legalization. — Ed.)
*  Bill Nye 4 President
*  Trump is a Russian puppet (Unfortunately, recent events are popping that bubble — Ed.)

Methinks some people confound “politics” for “science.”


Smile Into a Frown

22 04 2017


What’s with all the establishment hysteria over MLP’s chances all of a sudden?

I think one of two things are at work:


(1)  They actually think she can win the whole bag of marbles, and are starting to panic,


(2) They know their conventional wisdom is right, that she’ll make the runoff but only get 35-40% in the runoff, is correct, and are deliberately overselling her in order to create grounds and a pretext for gloating when that happens.