Wrong Target

31 10 2014

Colorado

r-co

Links to this.

First off, if you’ve been paying attention to Ace of Spades Decision Desk for the past month, then you already know this, and you know that knowing the two-party split of early votes already submitted (*) is crucial, and that even more crucial than that is comparing the two-party split of early votes already submitted to the same point in time four years ago.  For instance, in Iowa, while D > R in early votes slightly, four years ago at this time, the D over R lead was significantly bigger.  And what happened in Iowa four years ago?  Even though Republican Sen. Chuck Grassley won re-election and the House delegation from Iowa had no party flips, Terry Branstad did topple Chet Culver for Governor.  So the Republican gains in early voting is taken as good news for Joni Ernst.

However, I think this story out of Colorado gets one thing wrong.  I don’t think the high Republican turnout implying high Republican anger and motivation is intended to hurt Mark Udall, even though he will feel the disparate impact.  I think the real target of their ire is Democrat Governor John Hickenlooper.  The gun legislation of last year, which resulted in two Democrat State Senators being recalled and a third quitting before she could, is a huge factor.  But also, his Republican opponent is making a big issue of Hick issuing a reprieve delaying one Nathan Dunlap having a date with the electric chair, for his murdering people in 1993 at a Chuck E. Cheese in suburban Denver.  And since I said “Chuck E. Cheese,” and since you read James Edwards every day, the world’s foremost repository for CEC shenanigans, always done at the hands of YKW, you can figure out something about Mr. Dunlap just by that.

(*) – It’s not that they’re counting the early votes already.  The way they can tell whether more Republicans or Democrats have cast early votes is cross checking those that have with party registration.  Because Colorado and Iowa have party registration.  Missouri does not.  Another factor is that Republicans generally do better than the party registration of a given place’s voters would suggest.





Women and Minorities Hit Hardest

31 10 2014

Louisiana

Re Mary Landrieu’s snark about women and minorities having a hard time in Louisiana, a state that elected her (a woman) three times in a row, a Dot Indian in Piyush (“Bobby”) Jindal as Governor twice, and before him Kathleen Babineaux Blanco (a woman) — I think she’s prefabbing an excuse to explain her loss.

Not that Mary Landrieu, Kathleen Blanco or Bobby Jindal are anything to brag about.  Don’t blame me, I would have voted for David Duke.

I also think that Mary Landrieu’s brother being New Orleans Mayor plays into her snark somehow; I just don’t know how.





FWD Dot Me

30 10 2014

Santa Monica, California

Breitbart:

Though FWD.us declares that its mission is “to advocate for policies that will make the American dream achievable in the 21st century economy,” its main focus is immigration reform, which it describes as necessary both for economy growth and to “live up to our American ideals.”

Its main focus is to flood the CSIT/STEM employee sector with as much young docile cheap labor as possible to increase CSIT/STEM business and corporate profits.

The activists of FWD.us explicitly model their campaign on the effort to secure gay marriage. “Take the movement for marriage equality,” materials distributed at the event said. “It’s hard to oppose marriage for gay couples when you know the stories of your LGBTQ [lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgendered, queer] friends, family, and coworkers.”

If fake marriage winds up coming to pass, it won’t be because of any of this, it will be because of Federal judges. Kritarchs.

Activists shared several ideas, including suggestions to “create the next Ice Bucket Challenge,” a successful viral social media campaign that raised money for the ALS Association to research a cure for Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), or Lou Gehrig’s Disease.

Most people doing the ice bucket challenge only did it for the fame and adulation of having done the ice bucket challenge, without thinking that they also needed to give money to the ALS Association. Therefore, I can only hope that empty gesture tactics like these are the ones this gang relies upon.

Aside from using social media technologies to affect public opinion, the political strategy behind the FWD.us push is to put increased pressure on Democrats in Congress–not to vote on pending legislation, but to raise specific issues with the White House, particularly the desire to make immigration easier for tech employees.

Kiss the emperor’s ring. But remember, Obama’s pen and phone may well be our pen and phone one of these days.

There was no discussion at the Santa Monica meeting of technological innovations to improve border security, to verify employees’ immigration status, or to educate prospective immigrants about how to come to the country legally. Nor was there any mention of the constitutional separation of powers, which theoretically require the president to execute the laws passed by Congress, not to impose his own legislative will by executive fiat.

Why would there be, and why would they care about that kind of stuff? Why would an organization founded and funded by billionaires in order to make themselves even more filthy rich care about any of that?  Welcome to Moneyland!





Like I Said Yesterday

30 10 2014

Jefferson City

North Carolina.

And now Missouri.

As you can read, Rex Sinquefield is behind it.  This doesn’t say or even give you any hint, but I’m almost certain he’s trying to goose up turnout to get Proposition 3, which he’s also heavily bankrolling, to pass.

And it’s still a stupid thing to do because at best it’s annoying and at worst it comes across as voyeuristic and even borderline stalking.





NYT Lobs a Bomb on Chris Koster’s Campaign for Governor

30 10 2014

Jefferson City

Read all about it.

I would be cheering, except that, barring a miracle, the Republicans will be nominating Peter Kindercare.





The Wall Street Journal World Has Been Turned Right Side Up

30 10 2014

Aztlan

Jeff Sessions responds to the news that the WSJ broke about some of the specifics Obama is considering for an executive order amnesty.

Remember, thirty years ago, the WSJ called for open borders via Constitutional amendment.  Most of the WSJ article itself is paywalled, so I don’t know if the editorial tone of the news about this is forlorn or celebratory.  But that doesn’t matter — Obama is about to give the WSJ its thirty year old wet dream, even though there really hasn’t been much of the way of serious immigration and border enforcement in the last thirty years anyway.





My Audacious Contention

30 10 2014

Colorado

“War on women” a dud in 2014.

Strap on the seat belts, because  I’m about to make an audacious contention that brings a lot of clarity to stories like these:

“War on women” had very little to do with the way 2012 turned out.

It’s just that Democrats pounded that line into the ground two years ago, and they happened to do well, so they made the usual correlation-causation mistake, and trotted out war on women again this year.

This is all aside from the fact that there is no war on women.








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