Political Alchemy

29 10 2019

Philadelphia

H/T Paul Kersey.  Who, if you’ve been under a rock for the last several months, is now blogging at Unz.

NPR’s Philadelphia affiliate:

Homicide and home values: Why the city controller says Philly needs a fiscal argument to combat murder rate

(snip)

…It found that a single homicide in Philadelphia reduces the value of homes sold within 0.75 miles of the murder by an average of 2.3%, compared to homes purchased slightly farther away.

“Our results suggest homeowners who sold in the immediate aftermath of a homicide received a price about $3,400 lower than they otherwise would have if the homicide [had] not occurred,” the Controller’s Office concluded.

(snip)

If the city could reduce homicides by 10%, the report says, the resulting increase in property values would generate an extra $13 million in property tax revenue. And if Philadelphia maintains that pace for five years straight, an extra $114 million would flow to city coffers.

You read the title of this post.

Correlation-Causation.

That line of reasoning reminds me of that part in Waiting for Superman, where one Eric Hanushek, a well known education researcher at Stanford, claimed that all we needed to do is to replace the bottom ten percent of teachers (whatever “bottom” means in terms of teachers) and replace them with an average teacher (How Sway?), then America’s education median performance would soon soar to that of Finland.  Because Nokia 3310, or something like that.

When I saw Waiting, I was 33 years old, but even then, I had already long left the infantile delusion of silver bullet thinking behind.  I don’t know what Hanushek’s excuse was.

Now, let’s jump back to the story.

It’s so easy that all we have to do is “reduce homicides by ten percent,” (How Sway?), and property values will magically increase, which means property tax revenue will increase.

Sure.

Here’s the reality:

The reason why property values in homicide-ridden areas of Philadelphia are so low isn’t necessarily because of the homicides, though they don’t help.  It’s because the homicide-ridden areas happen to be full of the racial demographic that has a bad reputation for committing homicides.  Even if you found some way to eliminate all homicides and change nothing else, that would barely improve the property values.  It would still be Bell Curve City, just one that happens to have no homicides.

I asked above how they plan to “reduce homicides.”  Well:

Those strategies — which have been tested in other cities, the report says — include targeted “hot spot” policing, group counseling, and the deployment of community activists to intervene in neighborhood disputes.

(snip)

Rhynhart suggested that Philadelphia model its anti-violence initiatives on an effort in Oakland called “Operation Ceasefire” and another in New Orleans named “NOLA for Life.” The New Orleans program earned plaudits for driving down murder rates, but there have been more recent questions about the long-term sustainability of the strategies.

Among the stickier points in Rhynhart’s plan could be its use of “focused deterrence,” a carrot-and-stick approach that targets the “small group of people” considered most likely to commit future homicides. When implemented well, Rhynhart said, the strategy gives those people a “way out” of criminal circles through social services and jobs. If they refuse that help, law enforcement is supposed to take swift legal action.

Most of this stuff has already been tried with very little tangible success.  Hotspot policing (“Whack-a-Mole”) might make a difference to an extent, but it is a reactive rather than a preventative strategy.  Meaning that whack-a-mole goes where the violence is worst, but it also means there is bad violence to begin with.  It’s not precluding or preventing or deterring the violence.  It’s like saying that you put the biggest bandage on the bloodiest wound and thinking that you never suffered the wound to begin with.

We all know how the American domestic policy deep state is going to solve this problem:  By unloading it on someone else, that being AFFH.  That way, Philadelphia will no longer have a homicide problem.  Sure, some other place will suddenly have a homicide problem, but who cares about those other places?  Out of sight out of mind.

Then there’s this:

District Attorney Larry Krasner

Speaking of the real problem…

 





The Current Year Is Where Stunning Social Science Breakthroughs Go to Die

21 10 2019

Palo Alto, California

You might think we’re really starting to get somewhere, right?

You might think that the obvious official conclusion here is what we the people of the red pill have known for a long time, that black students tend to be doubly violent and stupid, which means they’ll show poorly on test scores and school discipline stats, right?

Right?

Well…you read the headline.

The last line:  It gets blamed on neo-witchcraft, because science and rationality.





The San Francisco Treat

17 10 2019

University City

I could be on New Horizons on my way out of the Solar System, and if I had an oxygen supply and connectivity, I’d still be able to snark about my native berg.

So, to this, I say:

BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAAAHHHAHAH

It was talked about since I was a teenager, took longer than expected to build, (no surprise there), but not even a year into operation, it’s a big money pit that will shut down around its first birthday unless it gets a bailout.   If nah, then the Feds will want the two-thirds of the $51.5 million it ponied up to be repaid.  Though that begs the question of how a short distance street trolley confined within one part of one suburb was relevant to interstate commerce such that it got Federal funding.

But here’s where I can uniquely contribute to the coming postmortem:

White liberals, in spite of their degree, diploma and credential braggadocio, have a really bad cargo cult habit.

It’s why pretentious humanities professors in the United States started driving Volvos in the 1970s.  It’s because they were cargo culting Swedish social democracy.  Of course, they, with all their intelligence and graduate degrees, couldn’t stop for a moment to consider why Swedish social democracy works(-ed), and anyway they would’ve hated some the reasons if they would have bothered to investigate honestly.  Don’t even consider the fact that their modern day colleagues will be honest about why the Swedish social democratic model is under threat, (hint hint mass non-white immigration thanks to the same sort of Swedish cuckery which bore big parts of the Swedish social democratic model).

Applied to the U-City Trolley:

The white libs along the U-City Loop and nearby were cargo culting San Francisco and its trolley system.  Just put a trolley along Delmar, and presto chango, U-City will be San Francisco, the progressive paradise.  (That isn’t so progressive anymore, because tech billionaires and banks that facilitate trans-Pacific commerce have bought out and bought off the joint, but that’ll be our little secret.)

None dare officially suggest that the U-City Loop’s bigger, in fact, biggest problem, is the fact it’s cheek-to-jowl with f’n Bell Curve City on four of the eight directions of the compass rose, which means frequent mahogany mob problems at Loop establishments and on the sidewalks and streets themselves.  I’m guessing that these taboo reasons were a major part of the trolley’s low ridership.

Now, if you’ll pardon me, I just have to, just one more time:

BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAAAHHHAAHAHAHHHHHAAAAH





The Keith Whitley Doctrine

15 09 2019

Frankfurt;  St. Louis

This is why I get paid the big bucks, and why you read this space, the few of you remaining who do.

It’s because I can draw a through line between what’s going on close to where I’m currently and temporarily residing and where I come from.

I was originally planning on making this a long drawn out post full of profundities and epiphanies, but I think I can net it out quite a bit.

The Keith Whitley Doctrine:  You say it best when you say nothing at all.  AKA The Alison Krauss Doctrine, AKA The Overstreet-Schlitz Doctrine.

The common denominator between Frankfurt and St. Louis at the present time is the fact that the individuals who aren’t at important and newsworthy events in both cities, either by choice or deliberate non-invitation, speak volumes.

I went to the Frankfurt Auto Show yesterday to have a peek around, ironically, after my driving lesson in the morning.  Frankfurt, of course, being a mere 19 miles to the east of Wiesbaden.  The noteworthy absent individual is one Peter Feldmann, the Mayor of Frankfurt, a Social Democrat.  He made it clear he wasn’t going at all, because climate change.  If you want to know why his absence for his stated reason speaks volumes about his own political party’s future, or lack thereof, then read this.

I’ll also note the irony that close to half of the cars on display are electrics.  Though, I have to back up and remember that the demented cat lady running the country shut down all the nuclear power plants, based on what was actually the German media’s favorite word, an Einzelfall, so all those electric cars are overglorified fossil fuel burners.

Now, let’s deal with the native berg.

Back on Tuesday, there was a big crime summit powwow at City Hall, which had as its two big headliners the most important person who works in that building, and the most important person who works in about the middle of the state.  But there were two big deliberate snubs:  One of them is the most important person who works in the edifice caddy-corner to City Hall, and the other is her Clayton counterpart.

You don’t have to be someone like me who was once plugged in well enough to St. Louis’s civic establishment to know what message is being sent here.  It’s that, for all the city and state media and political bluster about zomg gun laws and zomg police staffing and zomg dem programs, the important people in St. Louis know that the real big problems are Kim Gardner and Wesley Bell, and their policies of “thou shalt not prosecute black crime if thoust can help it.”  The former being a Soros whore, the only reason the latter isn’t is because nobody expected him to pull off the upset that he did, so the Open Sores Foundation never thought to write him a check.

Concomitant to that, it hit the news late last week that Mary Pat Carl, who was Jennifer Joyce’s Chief ACA for Homicide, and was considered the odds on favorite to replace her as Circuit Attorney, until Soros’s shekels pushed Kim Gardner to victory, is going to make another run at it next year.  As you can read here, Carl’s “official” reasoning for the second try is something-something Gardner’s corruption blah blah, but I think we all know the real reason.  A reason that it takes me, a whole other hemisphere away and a whole major ocean separating, to state publicly.

I’ll leave you with this.  One of my secret squirrel sources back in the native berg sent me this.  Whoever compiled this front page for this issue was trolling me, I can just feel it.  Full resolution link here.





Tongue Tied Eddie

7 08 2018

Chicago

What Rahm and Eddie really wanted to say:

“First off, why are you looking at us?  These are nothing more than a bunch of thug negroes shooting and killing other thug negroes, NHI.  Any other time, you in the media would be scolding any white people so worried about black crime, reminding them of just what we just said, that it’s largely not their problem.  Second, if you want to make it personal for any public officials, go have a talk with Dodge Dart, who doesn’t believe in incarceration, and Kim Foxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, who doesn’t believe in prosecution.”





Deadly Maneuvers

1 08 2018

Berkeley

Hey genius, there’s a reason why he got such a “harsh” sentence.

This QT fire happened almost four months after the more internationally infamous QT fire in North County, the one in the geography that would become better known as the Fergaza Strip.  (Note:  The QT referenced in this article was a different QT location.)  In that instance, the nearby undertow falsely thought that the QT employees “snitched” on GENTILIVUS GIANTIVUS, when in reality, it was the Ferguson Market across the road, that establishment is in a former 7-11.  Yet and still, QT got the works, the wrong kind of Hotzi.  And its employees got out of there just in the nick of time, a few seconds later, one or more of them would have suffered serious burns, a few seconds after that, they would have been immolated to death.

So you can understand why the criminal justice around here took a dim view of people who set fire to quickie marts and gas stations in the immediate weeks and months after that happened.





Love Only Goes So Far

31 07 2018

Jeff Vanderlou

2:

Mother of five shot and killed in north St. Louis neighborhood

St. Louis police are looking for the person who killed a mother of five who was pregnant with her sixth child.

There’s no word from investigators on a suspect or motive.

There’s word from a blogmeister on a motive.

Veronica Taylor, 30, was nearly five months pregnant, relatives said. She had two sons and three daughters, ranging in age from 5 months to 14 years.

Be fruitful, and, well, you know. 30 minus 14 minus 9 months.

The children’s great aunt, Georgia Griffin, said the children have long been in her care and that she plans to formally adopt them all.

Just like the one that was in the oven was going to be in her care. So why are we boo hooing over the murder of this “mother?”  Who would have been better called an incubator.

Though they did not regularly see their mother, they loved her and she loved them. This certainly adds to their hardship.

Yeah well I don’t know how they define “love,” but I know it’s not how I define it. “They did not regularly see their mother” — I think that’s somehow related to the reason why she was murdered.

Relatives are pleading for someone to come forward with information leading to the killer’s arrest. There is a reward of up to $5,000.

How much do you wanna bet there’s a GFM somewhere in this article?

Relatives have also set up a GoFundMe page to help with funeral expenses. They don’t have money to bury the children’s mother.

There it is.

Of course the naive gullible white duh progressives in this city will fill it up, and there will be way more than enough to plant the mother. The rest? Well, I expect the great aunt to, as they are saying this year, “live her best life,” in contrast to the antiquated obsolete slang and jargon of last year, “ballin’ out.” None of it will be used to augment the $5k reward kitty.

Oh, yeah, right. I almost forgot my theory on the motive:

Crack ho.

Oh boy, you’re all going to miss this when I’m gone, aren’t you?