I don’t think this is a hard riddle at all. Obama/Democrat/left/media, starting around April 2012, hyped up L’Affaire d’Skittles and other things to hype up black turnout for the election that year, and per middle aged and elderly black women, it worked. Throw GENTILIVUS GIANTVIUS in August 2014 into the pot of stew, and it boiled over. They got the black undertow so amped up that they’re being even more TNB-ey than usual with each other.
Steve Sailer has more.
This part of the NYT article interests me:
The police superintendent in Chicago, Garry McCarthy, said he thought an abundance of guns was a major factor in his city’s homicide spike. Even as officials in both parties are calling for reducing the prison population, he insisted that gun offenders should face stiffer penalties.
“Across the country, we’ve all found it’s not the individual who never committed a crime before suddenly killing somebody,” Mr. McCarthy said on Monday. “It’s the repeat offenders. It’s the same people over and over again.”
And it is precisely that kind of person who will be let out of prison in mass numbers as part of the recent hoopla about the supposed overincarceration of black men. The only reason it won’t boil the Bell Curve City pot any more than it already is, is because almost all of those that will be let out are being released around the time they turn 50 years old, and prisons are not well equipped to handle the inevitable chronic medical conditions of upper middle aged and elderly people. And it’s just the way of all flesh, even in the low IQ high testosterone set, 50 year old men don’t commit violent crimes at the same break neck rate that 20 year old men do. That’s what I think is really going on here with the long sentence commutation trend — It really has nothing to do with anybody’s Twitter hashtags or trendy hobby horses or #BlackLiesMatter — It has to do with getting long bid non-murder one inmates out of prison by age 50 for two reasons: One, so the Bureau of Federal Prisons or the states’ prison agencies don’t have to deal with their health care problems, and two, to create new space for the young ‘ens, to warehouse them until they turn 50. Lather, rinse, repeat. Especially in the Federal system, as the U.S. Attorneys are getting more and more creative in finding ways to apply Federal criminal laws and interstate commerce jurisdiction to ordinary black street crime, that of course has been one of this space’s recurring themes.
Also, as time goes on, I’m starting to chill to the “Ferguson Effect” in terms of law enforcement being too leery to do its job being a major factor. A lot of TNB-ey black crime is such that you could have a cop in every square yard of the ghetto and it wouldn’t make one bit of difference. There was some research done in Kansas City in the 1970s that showed that controlling for all the known factors, even the taboo ones, (the taboo factors were given non-taboo appellations), police saturation makes no difference in violent and category crime rates, provided that civilians don’t know ahead of time that cops are going to be over and under patrolling certain areas and which areas in particular. Now, this might not be relevant here, because it is probably well known on the street that cops are in retreat mode. It also explains why SLPD Whack-a-Mole doesn’t do much good, because they announce the hotspot neighborhoods in advance (giving the hard core thugs enough forewarning to stay away until the heat is off and take their antics to non-hotspot areas), and even in a hotspot area during the hotspot period, it doesn’t do much good. But its evidence enough that “more cops” might do some marginal good, but it’s nowhere near a panacea much less an ideal solution. The “Ferguson Effect” is still very relevant in terms of it referring to the amped up ghetto black undertow.