Case Closed

16 05 2017

Washington, D.C.

It wasn’t the “Russians.”

It wasn’t Kim Dotcom.

It was Seth Rich.

Don’t count on this Russia hysteria to go away, oh no.  Remember, the Fergaza Strip became a closed case on August 18, 2014, a mere nine days after the precipitating event, and by the time August 18 was over, we had both the first autopsy of the remains of GENTILIVUS GIANTIVUS, and also the Ferguson Market’s surveillance footage.  Yet, to this day, coming up on three years on, the fictional narrative is still being used as a justification for various peoples’ and groups’ pet agenda items.

As I Figured

11 05 2017

Washington, D.C.

Census lets loose of 2016 voter demographics research data, as the Bureau tends to do in May or June following the November elections of even-numbered years, Presidential or midterm.

The main conclusion was that black turnout was way down, compared to the two Obama cycles.  That’s something I knew would happen before it actually happened, and after it happened, I was able to confirm my own prediction which turned out to be correct with the fact that the raw total vote counts from heavily black counties and jurisdictions in 2016 was significantly down compared to 2012.  For instance:  St. Louis City had 144k total votes in 2012 compared to 129k in 2016.

Also, this same data set showed that 18-24 yo voters turned out way less in 2012 than they did in 2008 or even 2004.  Though they had a mild increase in 2016 compared to 2012.  The importance of that is that we had to hear a lot of noise in the 2012 postmortem about young voters, Millennials and the coalition of the ascendant.  Then, the Census Bureau in June 2013 came out with this same research, and showed that Obama’s re-election rode on the backs of stratospheric turnout among middle aged and elderly black women.

Electoral College Versus Popular Vote

4 02 2017


What’s the Matter With That One State Over from Kansas?

29 01 2017


Thomas Frank does Walt Disney’s home town and north central Missouri in general.

This little spreadsheet may shed some light on the situation.


Your Turn

24 01 2017

Washington, D.C.

Four years ago, the red party got their autopsy wrong.  Mostly due to donor pressure, they deliberately misdiagnosed the cause of death, and promised to double down on that which caused them to lose, that which crucially marginal voters found abhorrent.  Luckily for the red party, an orange crowned spirit descended from the sky and down an escalator to save them from themselves in the time since then.

Now, it’s the blue party’s turn to get their autopsy wrong, and the double down on that which caused them to lose.

Coronal Options

1 01 2017


Me, November 10:

We were lectured in the current year that white evangelical/born-again voters would sour on Trump because of his personal life and his social issue liberalism.

In 2012, Romney carried 78% of them.  That matched the record for that group voting red, with Bush 2004.  That was important, because there was a fashionable theory that white evangelical/born-again voters soured on a Mormon, and this statistic refuted that.

That record is now gone.

Trump got 81% of them.

The Atlantic, three days ago:

Many of those 81 percent are accommodating cultural changes in America that are deeply problematic. Liberals have been trying to convince Americans, and evangelicals in particular, that America is not a Christian nation. The 2016 election was evangelicals saying, “Yeah, you’re right! We can’t expect to have someone who is Christian like us. We can’t expect to have someone with a perfect family life. What we can expect is someone who can look out for us, just like every other group in this country is looking for a candidate who will look out for them.”

An easier way to say this is that when the traditional Evangelical issue base is taken off the table, they won’t stay home, but instead fall back on populism and nationalism in other issues.  And that’s how you get to 81%.  This also means that the very people who have been demanding that these issues are taken off the table can’t turn right around and blame the people they wanted not to have this choice for not thinking about these things when casting their votes.  It was like:  “The social issues shouldn’t matter anymore” on the one hand, but “How could you vote for such a lecher like Trump?” on the other hand.

Medieval Scholastic Nitpicking

21 12 2016

Alexandria, Virginia

Aww, isn’t that cute?  He’s in the same line of work I am, (or at least I am for two more days), and he’s goosing a pseudo-scientific narrative around his and his firm’s ideological-professional interests!  They’re so cherubic when they do that!

The cynic in me (though I repeat myself) senses that this is far more a paid advertisement than a bona fide op-ed.

“But look but look but look!  Trump didn’t do as well as Romney south of Nashville and north of Columbus!”

That’s right, President Romney does have that to his credit.

Wait what?