In Even More Stark Terms

9 12 2016

USA

A website called Rynerohla has, since about a week after Election Day, been compiling and adding red-blue maps of states by precinct.

It just added Illinois today.  Before you click, your browser will probably downscale this very large (7000 x 9280) image to fit your browser.  If you click on it to make it native size, it will take a few seconds to show.

Just looking at it, without knowing anything else, you wonder how Trump didn’t win it.  But then you come back to your senses and realize that there are a whole hell of a lot of people where all the blue is up in the upper right corner.





Demography Really Is Destiny

28 11 2016

Vista, California

Darrel Issa had to eke out a re-election win.

Let me repeat:

Darrel Issa.

His district includes southern Orange and northern San Diego County, some of the last red areas in SoCal.

Though since it also includes Camp Pendleton, and the Democrat is a retired Marine Colonel, that explains part of it.

Also, the scant few remaining Republican House members from SoCal won easily, including Duncan Hunter and someone on Trump’s short list for SoS, Dana Rohrabacher.

But, on the flip side, for the first time since the Depression, Orange County was not red in a Presidential election.





Thinking Cap

28 11 2016

Washington, D.C.

WaPo:

Donald Trump lost most of the American economy in this election

By Jim Tankersley

In the modern era of presidential politics, no candidate has ever won the popular vote by more than Hillary Clinton did this year, yet still managed to lose the electoral college. In that sense, 2016 was a historic split: Donald Trump won the presidency by as much as 74 electoral votes (depending on how Michigan ends up) while losing the nationwide vote to Clinton by 1.7 million votes and counting.

But there’s another divide exposed by the election, which researchers at the Brookings Institution recently discovered as they sifted the election returns. It has no bearing on the election outcome, but it tells us something important about the state of the country and its politics moving forward.

The divide is economic, and it is massive. According to the Brookings analysis, the less-than-500 counties that Clinton won nationwide combined to generate 64 percent of America’s economic activity in 2015. The more-than-2,600 counties that Trump won combined to generate 36 percent of the country’s economic activity last year.

(snip)

As Muro notes, many state legislatures are divided on similar grounds, between higher-output metro areas and lower-output rural ones. Often, that divide pushes governors of those states, even the ones who hail from cities, to push hard for economic development in lower-output areas.

Uh, Jim? That’s precisely why Trump won.

Think it through.





Recount Schmeecount

27 11 2016

Brooklyn

FYI, Michigan has already been recounted, because its preliminary margin was Trump +0.3, and there was very little change post-recount.  In contrast, the preliminary margins out of the two other supposedly contestable states are +1.0 (WI) and +1.2 (PA).  In both instances, Trump won far beyond the margin of lawyer.

It’s all about Jill Stein raising money, and the left prefabricating the narrative that Putin hacked voting machines in crucial swing states.  Critical self-introspection…absolutely prohibited.





Dueling Narratives

25 11 2016

Washington, D.C.

jeb-restore

rcp-strongest





A Shredded Rose By Any Other Name

23 11 2016

Brooklyn

What’s really going on here?

The “fake news” excuse is wearing thin, so they’re slowly going to dog whistle that Putin hacked the voting machines.

But didn’t Putin also hack Facebook to insert fake news?





Hillary’s Choice

22 11 2016

Youngstown, Ohio

wapo-youngstown

From the above:

The [Mahoning County, Ohio Democrat Party] chairman feels very strongly now that Clinton could have won Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan if she had just kept her eye on economic issues and not gotten distracted by the culture wars.

That’s the shot. Here’s the chaser:

hrc-sjw

Meaning, who has time to care about burgeoning income, wealth and resource inequality and increasingly centralized power of the government-corporate borg when someone somewhere said something transphobic?

Somewhere, HRC is probably still hung over.