The leading Republican Presidential candidate leads the second place candidate by a slightly higher margin among women than men, has a huge lead among moderates but only a slight lead among very conservatives, but is not leading among evangelicals.
Leading the pack, on the backs of moderates and he’s doing it in spite of evangelicals.
The Republican establishment ought to be eating out of this guy’s lap.
Instead, they want to pump hot lead through his skull, or rather, they hope someone else will do it.
The reason is for another polling item: The front runner has a 21 point lead among non-college whites but only two point lead among anyone with a college degree.
This means the non-evangelical moderates who love the front runner and who are making him the front runner aren’t urban(e) social issue non-conservatives, but working middle class blue to gray collar whites.
Like I wrote here two months ago, the front runner is proving that the party establishment was correct on the need to moderate, but dead wrong on what needed to be moderated and who would be attracted in earnest.
This data also made me figure out precisely why people who want no part of evangelicals or the Magic Negro were peddling the Magic Negro to evangelicals — To keep them away from Trump so that this may cost him a few early states, in the hopes that this trips him up, gets him discouraged, and gets him to drop out. When in reality, evangelicals are easy pickings for Trump otherwise. I knew that Magic Negro was an anti-Trump foil; I just didn’t know precisely how until today. And as far as early states go? Remember, in 1992, among Democrats, Bill Clinton lost eleven of the first twelve contests. These things are marathons, not sprints.