WaPo on Trump’s guy in Iowa, who was Santorum’s guy in Iowa back in ’12.
This is why I get paid the big bucks, to see the key crucial parts of news that everyone else glosses over:
To Laudner, that means running what he calls a “parallel campaign.” While the 15 or so other Republican candidates fight over the 120,000 regular GOP caucusgoers who turn out every four years to spend hours in school gymnasiums or church basements for the grueling voting process, Laudner is seeking out “people who wouldn’t be caught dead at a Republican event.”
I wrote in this space after Trump’s announcement that Trump was going to start a demolition derby in the Republican field for two main reasons: One, his cultural power means that he can define the others but they can’t define him, and/or two, the votes he’ll take from other candidates will mean that a lot of serious contenders have to give up way earlier than they thought and a lot of vanity candidates will have more staying power, and may well throw the nomination to a vanity candidate. Even then, I figured Trump would get votes from the universe of non-voters, but I just assumed that he would get most of his votes from the zero-sum game of the Republican voter universe.
Well, at least in Iowa, it turns out I was wrong about that. It looks like the strategy there is going to be to focus mostly on noobs. And I think that’s a clue to what The Donald and his brain trust are thinking with other states.
If that’s the case, it blows out of the water the theory that the Republican establishment is having Trump run just to create another candidate dividing up the anti-Jeb! vote just to make life easier for Jeb!. Besides, Trump doesn’t seem to be the type, with his ego, cultural power, name rec, and money, just to totey along and play games on behalf of the Republican establishment.
Iowa is a tale of two states. East of Des Moines is basically an extension of Minnesota and Wisconsin, and whose founding whites were New Englanders, and those counties are mostly blue in Presidential elections, while west of Des Moines are Great Plains Republicans, those counties are red in Presidential elections. The Hawkeye Cauci are mainly contested west of Des Moines, as you can figure, and were the driving energy for Rick Santorum’s upset win in 2012 and Pat Robertson’s surprising second place finish in 1988. If Chuck Laudner is as smart as I think he is, he’s going to focus on east of Des Moines. If Trump wins or does well in the Hawkeye Cauci, and his success is bolstered in eastern Iowa, then we’ll know what Laudner was up to and that his strategy worked.